FL-Mason Dixon: Bush+5 against Clinton, but Rubio down 4
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  FL-Mason Dixon: Bush+5 against Clinton, but Rubio down 4
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Author Topic: FL-Mason Dixon: Bush+5 against Clinton, but Rubio down 4  (Read 1580 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: February 06, 2015, 10:07:47 AM »

47% Bush (R)
42% Clinton (D)

45% Clinton (D)
41% Rubio (R)

The Mason-Dixon Poll surveyed 625 Florida registered voters Jan. 27-29.

http://www.news-press.com/story/news/2015/02/03/poll-shows-bush-best-chance-clinton/22813429
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: February 06, 2015, 10:13:13 AM »

Also:

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42% Yes
43% No

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15% President
57% Senate

http://mason-dixon.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/Florida-Poll-Feb.-2015-Bush-Rubio.pdf
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King
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« Reply #2 on: February 06, 2015, 10:43:09 AM »

I thought Mason Dixon folded after a third straight Presidential election of junk polls?
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #3 on: February 06, 2015, 10:49:23 AM »

I thought Mason Dixon folded after a third straight Presidential election of junk polls?

Mason-Dixon really flopped in FL in the 2012 Pres. election by showing Romney+7 in their final poll, but Obama won by 1.

But M-D wasn't all too bad in the other states they polled in 2012 though, as well as in MN and WY in 2014.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #4 on: February 06, 2015, 11:13:32 AM »
« Edited: February 09, 2015, 12:50:09 PM by pbrower2a »

In view of the poor record of Mason-Dixon I am not using Mason-Dixon polls. That it gets Minnesota or Wyoming right -- who cares? Gravis is in the same category.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #5 on: February 06, 2015, 11:14:38 AM »

In view of the poor record of Mason-Dixon I am not using Mason-Dixon polls. That it gets Minnesota or Wyoming right -- who cares?

Ah ... so you are only using polls you like for your maps ?

You should not exclude a pollster because it got 1 state wrong in 2012.

Mason-Dixon was one of the best pollsters a decade or 20-30 years ago or so.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #6 on: February 06, 2015, 11:22:43 AM »

In view of the poor record of Mason-Dixon I am not using Mason-Dixon polls. That it gets Minnesota or Wyoming right -- who cares?

Ah ... so you are only using polls you like ?

My prerogative -- and I would reject any pollster with a poor record of prediction or a pollster with a blatant tie to an institution with an agenda. Would you trust an insider poll? A poll by the US Chamber of Commerce or the NAACP? A poll whose patron is a union? Church of $cientology?

The only use for such a poll in my maps is to fill in a gap -- and then if it seems right. I see plenty of junk polls involving Michigan and Pennsylvania. 

You can trust that we are going to all see copious polls of Florida.
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #7 on: February 06, 2015, 11:35:46 AM »

In view of the poor record of Mason-Dixon I am not using Mason-Dixon polls. That it gets Minnesota or Wyoming right -- who cares?

Ah ... so you are only using polls you like for your maps ?

You should not exclude a pollster because it got 1 state wrong in 2012.

Mason-Dixon was one of the best pollsters a decade or 20-30 years ago or so.

Florida would be blue or less democratic on his map and this is unacceptable for a democratic hack.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #8 on: February 06, 2015, 02:12:14 PM »

lolmasondixon
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Devils30
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« Reply #9 on: February 06, 2015, 04:43:45 PM »

Means Hillary should win by 3 then, very possible if she beat Jeb by 8-9 or so nationally. Got a feeling Jeb is about to flop in the primaries.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #10 on: February 09, 2015, 03:24:59 PM »

Twenty years ago? Bill Clinton was then President, and the Democrats still had considerable strength in the South, not counting Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia.

If political realities again look like those of the 1990s, then it could be a good pollster again. I have yet to see that.   
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