John Edward/Brian Schweitzer 419
John McCain/Tim Pawlentey 119
This map might seem a bit farfetched but consider it this way. Butterfly out Edwards meeting Rielle Hunter and say Obama doesn't run, deciding that it's too soon. Without Obama in the race Edwards picks up the bulk of the anti-war and netroots support on the left and upsets Hillary. Without Obama as the Democratic nominee there's less pressure on McCain to do something out of left field so he goes with the conventional establishment choice of Tim Pawlentey which does nothing to excite the base. Edwards picks Brian Schweitzer to help him in the west and solidify his working class populist message. Running a populist "two americas" campaign in the aftermath of the 2008 crash with McCain floundering and low GOP enthusiasm allows Edwards to win a landslide victory, doing well in the places that Obama didn't.