LA and NC 2016 Congressional Races

[publicunofficial]

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/trump-backs-ellmers-in-first-congressional-endorsement-223909

Trump has endorsed Renee Ellmers right before her primary on Tuesday in his first Congressional endorsement. Does this help or hurt Renee? Or does it not make any difference at all?

Also, who do you think will win the CD2 nomination for Republicans? I think Holding wins

I think it helps Ellmers, but it's too little too late. Likely Holding.

[JerryArkansas]

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/trump-backs-ellmers-in-first-congressional-endorsement-223909

Trump has endorsed Renee Ellmers right before her primary on Tuesday in his first Congressional endorsement. Does this help or hurt Renee? Or does it not make any difference at all?

Also, who do you think will win the CD2 nomination for Republicans? I think Holding wins

I think it helps Ellmers, but it's too little too late. Likely Holding.

I don't know, since turnout is only expected to be like 5 or 6 percent, it might swing he election.

[rob in cal]

   The Ellmers endorsement by Trump is really interesting as she was almost defeated in the 2014 primary by an underfunded candidate (La Roche I think is his name) who specifically ran against her due to her potential support for some type of Gang of eight immigration reform.  Now the supposedly right-wing on immigration Trump backs her.

[publicunofficial]

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/trump-backs-ellmers-in-first-congressional-endorsement-223909

Trump has endorsed Renee Ellmers right before her primary on Tuesday in his first Congressional endorsement. Does this help or hurt Renee? Or does it not make any difference at all?

Also, who do you think will win the CD2 nomination for Republicans? I think Holding wins

I think it helps Ellmers, but it's too little too late. Likely Holding.

I don't know, since turnout is only expected to be like 5 or 6 percent, it might swing he election.

For the record, Trump didn't even win NC-02 in the primary. Cruz did.

[Pandaguineapig]

Polls in nc just closed, probably 15-20 minutes before first results

[Vosem]

With 0/157 precincts reporting, Holding 51, Brannon 24, Ellmers 24! Brannon leading Ellmers by 9 votes!

I doubt it holds, but Ellmers relegated to third place, in and of itself, would make this a fantastic night.

EDIT: In other results, Jones is above 60 in NC-3 (ugh), Pittenger is in third place, Johnson 39, Harris 33, Pittenger 28. No results in for NC-12 or NC-13 yet. Foxx, Meadows, and Walker are all above 80 and are all clearly safe.

[Maxwell]

First results in District 8... and Richard Hudson is losing his primary thus far.

Wow, North Carolina is gonna be fun already!!

[Vosem]

First results in District 8... and Richard Hudson is losing his primary thus far.

To a long-time LPNC activist, no less. But let's use the other thread, since states other than North Carolina will be up for discussion tonight

[Free Bird]

Decision Desk calls NC3 for Jones. Woo!

[Kingpoleon]

Decision Desk calls NC3 for Jones. Woo!

Out of curiosity, are you supporting Cao for Senate, and if not, then who?

[Miles]

LA-03: Not as large a lead as the last one, but a poll from the Trafalgar Group has Angelle clearly up (all the candidates are Republicans):

Angelle  - 39%
Higgins  - 18%
Ellison - 8%
Geymann - 5%

[Miles]

Some maps from last week's House primaries in NC.

First, my personal favorite, CD3:



CD2, where Holding crushed:



The very close CD9:



CD12 - I was rooting for Cotham, but she's young and will have other opportunities. Very impressive that Adams won so comfortably despite being from Greensboro:



And finally, CD13, which was the biggest clown car I've seen in a while:

[Miles]

Harris is requesting a recount in CD9; he's currently trailing Pittenger by 135 votes.

[Gass3268]

CD13: Pretty Colors!

[Miles]

LA-SEN: The other candidate reports will be out soon, but Campbell slightly outraised Kennedy:

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[smoltchanov]

LA-SEN: The other candidate reports will be out soon, but Campbell slightly outraised Kennedy:

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It will be very interesting to see Boustany and Fleming numbers... I consider them (with Kennedy and Campbell) to be most serious candidates to get into "top 2", despite Fayard's statements to the contrary....

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Does anyone have a detailed map of the new NC CDs?  I have some family in Wake County, and it looks pretty close as to which side they would be on, so I was just a little curious.

[Maxwell]

LA-SEN: The other candidate reports will be out soon, but Campbell slightly outraised Kennedy:

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yass bish

Campbell-mentum!

[Miles]

Does anyone have a detailed map of the new NC CDs?  I have some family in Wake County, and it looks pretty close as to which side they would be on, so I was just a little curious.

Here's a Google maps overlay of the new (and old) districts.

[RogueBeaver]

LA-1: Duke is strongly leaning towards a run.

[ElectionsGuy]

LA-1: Duke is strongly leaning towards a run.

This is about to get fun.

[Ebsy]

My dream scenario is a close three way race with Scalise, Duke, and, I don't know, maybe Edwin Edwards in which Scalise comes in third and crooked beats racist again!

[IceSpear]

LA-1: Duke is strongly leaning towards a run.

KKK+1

[publicunofficial]

LA-1: Duke is strongly leaning towards a run.

David Duke's campaigns, while horrifying and terrible, are at least useful for gauging what percentage of Louisiana voters are massive racists. I've always wondered which CD he would do best in, nationwide.

[IceSpear]

LA-1: Duke is strongly leaning towards a run.

David Duke's campaigns, while horrifying and terrible, are at least useful for gauging what percentage of Louisiana voters are massive racists. I've always wondered which CD he would do best in, nationwide.

West...

Feliciana Parish