5. New Jersey - 9/11 effect
+ McGreevey effect
I think NJ will be back towards the Dems in the future with Philadelphians moving there. 9/11+McGrrevey was devastating towards the Dems for they had to dedicate resources towards NJ after McGreevey. Pre-McGrrevey polls had NJ for Kerry as high as +20!
Many Philadelphians that move there are escaping a Democrat-controlled city. They aren't thrilled with the leadership here.
Isn''t the Philly burbs have a rather large influx of exPhiladelphians. MontCo, Deleware & Bucks have gotten much more Democratic