5. New Jersey - 9/11 effect
+ McGreevey effect
I think NJ will be back towards the Dems in the future with Philadelphians moving there. 9/11+McGrrevey was devastating towards the Dems for they had to dedicate resources towards NJ after McGreevey. Pre-McGrrevey polls had NJ for Kerry as high as +20!
That was 1 poll. Most showed Kerry ahead by 2-10%
Actually, NJ polling was schizophrenic: in the last month, they ranged from Push to Kerry +12, with no real clear number between them - they were everywhere.
