2014 US Congressional Election Results

[IceSpear]

Well, the fact that she exceeded expectations means she could still possibly run for Governor or Senator in the future.

Not Thompsoned. Not Blanched. Not even Pryored/Santorumed! Well done Mary.

[Matty]

Republicans should be alarmed at this result.

[ElectionsGuy]

Well, the fact that she exceeded expectations means she could still possibly run for Governor or Senator in the future.

Not Thompsoned. Not Blanched. Not even Pryored/Santorumed! Well done Mary.

No, but Landrieud. She'll still end up losing by 12-13 points, that's nothing to celebrate over.

I think Cassidy could've done a little better had he actually campaigned...

84/118 precincts left are from Orleans. She'll get close to 44%

Looks like my 43.5% prediction was good

Congrats, Miles!

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Straw?

As in, clutching at it. Louisiana is 30% Black. A convicted paedophile could probably poll 40% as a Democrat in a seriously contested statewide election (but no higher).

[Keystone Phil]

As I said. Yawn.

[Recalcuate]

Republicans should be alarmed at this result.

Oh yeah, they ONLY beat a sitting Senator by 10-14 points. /sarcasm

[IceSpear]

Straw?

As in, clutching at it. Louisiana is 30% Black. A convicted paedophile could probably poll 40% as a Democrat in a seriously contested statewide election (but no higher).

Are you insinuating Charlie Melancon is worse than a convicted pedophile?

[Clarko95 📚💰📈]

Well, it was a good ride while it lasted. Had to end sometime. Goodbye Mary, we'll miss ya

[Lief 🗽]

guys do you think al is right

he definitely has a creepy smile

[Miles]

Republicans should be alarmed at this result.

Oh yeah, they ONLY beat a sitting Senator by 10-14 points. /sarcasm

Many of the AoS workers I was updating the election data with (I was the only Democrat) were disappointed at Cassidy's margin.

[ElectionsGuy]

Its 56.8-43.2 right now and the rest of the vote is New Orleans. It'll be 56-44.

On another note, Cassidy did surprisingly weak in Jefferson Parish, only 53-47. I think New Orleans has a lot of moderate suburbanites.

[IceSpear]

So the DSCC spent millions on Pryor for him to lose by 18 points, and spent $0 on Landrieu who lost by 12. Thanks guys!

[Clarko95 📚💰📈]

I think New Orleans has a lot of moderate suburbanites.

Could it be just incumbency effect?

[Miles]

I think New Orleans has a lot of moderate suburbanites.

Actually, no. Landrieu's (relatively) good showing in Jefferson Parish has much more to do with demographic change since the storm.

[solarstorm]

I wonder how small her margin would be if the DNC had payed for her 1 million dollar ad.

[Recalcuate]

Republicans should be alarmed at this result.

Oh yeah, they ONLY beat a sitting Senator by 10-14 points. /sarcasm

Many of the AoS workers I was updating the election data with (I was the only Democrat) were disappointed at Cassidy's margin.

It's about where it should have been given Cassidy + Republican +Libertarian vote (~56%) and Landrieu + Democrat vote (~44%) in the jungle primary. Kind of inelastic in a way.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Skrmetta (R) wins public service commissioner district 1, 51-49 over Wright (R).

[Miles]

All of Orleans is in and Cassidy is up 56/44.

[ElectionsGuy]

I think New Orleans has a lot of moderate suburbanites.

Actually, no. Landrieu's (relatively) good showing in Jefferson Parish has much more to do with demographic change since the storm.

That makes sense. Romney performed worse than Bush despite him doing better in the state. Could that explain St. Bernard, too?

All of Orleans is in and Cassidy is up 56/44.

Yeah, what a Blanching. The early votes were so deceptive, and of course pollsters did what they did all this cycle, they poll to get a response close to the overall consensus.

[Miles]

I think New Orleans has a lot of moderate suburbanites.

Actually, no. Landrieu's (relatively) good showing in Jefferson Parish has much more to do with demographic change since the storm.

That makes sense. Romney performed worse than Bush despite him doing better in the state. Could that explain St. Bernard, too?

All of Orleans is in and Cassidy is up 56/44.

Yeah, what a Blanching. The early votes were so deceptive, and of course pollsters did what they did all this cycle, they poll to get a response close to the overall consensus.

I'll get deeper into the weeds later with precinct maps, but yeah. Same thing in St. Benard Parish. It gave David Duke 55%+ both times but went for Landrieu this year and in 2008. How times change haha

[Holmes]

Straw?

As in, clutching at it. Louisiana is 30% Black. A convicted paedophile could probably poll 40% as a Democrat in a seriously contested statewide election (but no higher).

A convicted paedophile could probably win statewide in Louisiana as a Republican too.

[RI]

Right is swing from Obama 2012 in one percent increments.

[Miles]

^ Cameron Parish is dark red but Landrieu still only got 21% there!

[Miles]

AOSHQDD calls Senate for Cassidy.

Don't remind me

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Final Margins:

Skrmetta - 51%
Wright - 49%

Abraham - 64%
Mayo - 36%

Graves - 62%
Edwards - 38%

Cassidy - 56%
Landrieu - 44%