GA-PPP: All tied up
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Author Topic: GA-PPP: All tied up  (Read 1938 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: October 27, 2014, 03:35:01 PM »

47% apiece.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2014, 03:40:14 PM »

New Poll: Georgia Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2014-10-24

Summary: D: 47%, R: 47%, I: 3%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2014, 03:42:18 PM »

Damn. She's probably going to just miss the 50% threshold. Sad
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Miles
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« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2014, 03:46:37 PM »

I hope PPP still includeds GA in its final batch.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2014, 04:10:43 PM »

Seems fair , but what concerns me is that the sample is + 3 GOP, and Perdue still has a lower favorability
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Maxwell
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« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2014, 04:12:53 PM »

Fascinating - David Perdue actually has a higher net favorable rating (+4) than Michelle Nunn (+0). And yet Perdue is tied.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #6 on: October 27, 2014, 04:13:52 PM »

BREAKING: Michelle Nunn to lose in the runoff.
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Consciously Unconscious
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« Reply #7 on: October 27, 2014, 04:29:00 PM »

This will be a fun race to watch next Tuesday. 
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Devils30
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« Reply #8 on: October 27, 2014, 05:00:48 PM »

Georgia Dems will have some happier days soon but just a plurality on election night is a solid goal for now.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #9 on: October 27, 2014, 05:01:50 PM »

I think Nunn/Carter may have run just a couple cycles too early. They would've been (would be?) great candidates in 2018/2020.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #10 on: October 27, 2014, 05:03:26 PM »

Nunn doesn't have to poll exactly at 50% in order to actually get 50% in the election. Past elections should tell us that some candidates that have never polled at 50%, but still have gone on to reach it.
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windjammer
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« Reply #11 on: October 27, 2014, 05:04:32 PM »

BREAKING: Michelle Nunn to lose in the runoff.
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Recalcuate
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« Reply #12 on: October 27, 2014, 05:23:10 PM »

Damn. She's probably going to just miss the 50% threshold. Sad

538 gives this race a 70% chance of going to runoff.

If it's 47-47-3 with 4% undecided, it looks more and more like a runoff. If you dig deep into the undecided on here, they perhaps slightly favor Perdue (more 2012 Romney voters than Obama voters).

In any event that's all around the fringes. It looks like this will be settled on January 6.

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Eraserhead
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« Reply #13 on: October 27, 2014, 05:41:40 PM »

At least the runoff will give us something to watch in an otherwise dull January.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #14 on: October 27, 2014, 05:52:47 PM »

We'll get a preview of how the Senate runoff will go in December with the Governor's runoff.
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GaussLaw
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« Reply #15 on: October 27, 2014, 06:03:12 PM »

Nunn doesn't have to poll exactly at 50% in order to actually get 50% in the election. Past elections should tell us that some candidates that have never polled at 50%, but still have gone on to reach it.

Yeah, but Nunn and Perdue are basically tied in polling averages on 538, and undecideds in GA break 2:1 Republican.  It's going to runoff.
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