PPP-IA: Braley +1

[Brittain33]

I remember in 2010 how the bottom nearly fell out completely for the Dems in Iowa. IA-1 and IA-2 weren't considered competitive and then in the final weeks, the DCCC started spending money to support Braley and Loebsack which probably made the difference for them. It's why I have been taking Ernst's lead at face value.

[Brittain33]

Perhaps. Unless you think that someone who thinks Iraq had WMDs, etc. is not an extremist.

cough

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2014/10/14/world/middleeast/us-casualties-of-iraq-chemical-weapons.html?_r=0

http://www.motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2014/10/no-theres-still-no-evidence-there-was-active-wmd-program-iraq

It's not a revelation that Iraq had chemical weapons in the 1980s.

[Brittain33]

Perhaps I'm in the minority, but I haven't been and am still not really worried about Braley losing this race. He's been such a terrible candidate and Iowa is so elastic that if he were in any real danger of losing, it would be more evident at this point.

What do you make of most of the polls showing Ernst up? Also, the Koch bros. (AFP) appear to be matching the Dems in driving up early votes.