PPP-IA: Braley +1

[IceSpear]

Stupendous news! An extremist nutjob like Ernst has no business being a US Senator.

Is it possible that Braley is improving because of early voting? In other words, Dems are getting a lot of people out to vote who would normally be shut out of the LV screen, but you can't say someone who already voted isn't a likely voter.

[IceSpear]

Stupendous news! An extremist nutjob like Ernst has no business being a US Senator.

Is it possible that Braley is improving because of early voting? In other words, Dems are getting a lot of people out to vote who would normally be shut out of the LV screen, but you can't say someone who already voted isn't a likely voter.

You really believe the above?

Yes?

[IceSpear]

Stupendous news! An extremist nutjob like Ernst has no business being a US Senator.

Is it possible that Braley is improving because of early voting? In other words, Dems are getting a lot of people out to vote who would normally be shut out of the LV screen, but you can't say someone who already voted isn't a likely voter.

You really believe the above?

Yes?

The question mark appended to the "yes" meaning that you are unsure if you really believe what you said?

The question mark was because your question was fairly odd, considering any rational person knows that Joni Ernst is an extremist nutjob.

[IceSpear]

Stupendous news! An extremist nutjob like Ernst has no business being a US Senator.

Is it possible that Braley is improving because of early voting? In other words, Dems are getting a lot of people out to vote who would normally be shut out of the LV screen, but you can't say someone who already voted isn't a likely voter.

You really believe the above?

Yes?

The question mark appended to the "yes" meaning that you are unsure if you really believe what you said?

The question mark was because your question was fairly odd, considering any rational person knows that Joni Ernst is an extremist nutjob.

IC. I guess that I am just irrational then. Thanks.

Perhaps. Unless you think that someone who thinks Obama is a dictator that should be impeached, peddles Agenda 21 conspiracy theories, supports Personhood which failed even in Mississippi, thinks the EPA should be abolished, thinks Iraq had WMDs, etc. is not an extremist. She's basically a more charismatic version of Sharron Angle. I know the Republicans have gone far right recently, but even by that standard she's still way out of the mainstream.

[IceSpear]

What is funny is Republicans running around screeching that this means nothing. It's not the breakthrough that the Dems seem to be saying, but it's still PPP and it does have to be taken seriously.

It is rather odd considering the fact that Selzer (widely considered the best in Iowa) shows Ernst up 1 and Quinnipiac shows her up 2. It's not like this is some kind of massive departure from the consensus, unless you really thought she was up 9 like MageLOLan said.

[IceSpear]

This wasn't included in RCP..... just saying

Because it was done for a liberal group, and was probably skewed a couple points or so in their favor.

This probably shouldn't be in the database, as it's not an independent poll.

Funnily enough, RCP won't include a PPP poll commissioned by the LCV, but will include a Magellan poll commissioned by the right wing "Keystone Report" website. They're hardly the paragon of objectivity you guys seem to think they are.

[IceSpear]

This wasn't included in RCP..... just saying

Because it was done for a liberal group, and was probably skewed a couple points or so in their favor.

This probably shouldn't be in the database, as it's not an independent poll.

Funnily enough, RCP won't include a PPP poll commissioned by the LCV, but will include a Magellan poll commissioned by the right wing "Keystone Report" website. They're hardly the paragon of objectivity you guys seem to think they are.

Obviously RCP has a Republican bias when it comes to which polls they enter; hence why I find it so amusing when you guys cite performances relative to the RCP Average as a basis for believing Democratic candidates will "overperform the polls"

Well, they tend to stop playing games toward the end so that their results are as accurate as possible.

[IceSpear]

PPP only has Braley up by 1.  Ouch.  That's not a good sign for him.  I think he's finished guys.

You know PPP had a Republican bias in 2012, right?