WI: Marquette: Tied with LVs (user search)
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  WI: Marquette: Tied with LVs (search mode)
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Author Topic: WI: Marquette: Tied with LVs  (Read 5848 times)
mypalfish
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« on: October 15, 2014, 01:28:49 PM »

MU Poll is the best in WI, but Walker up 2 among men and Burke up 1 among women?

I can understand the volatility with Independents, but not the gender breakdown this time.
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mypalfish
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« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2014, 01:43:51 PM »

This sample also shows Obama's approval in WI at 47/49, when the previous poll was 42/53.  

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mypalfish
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« Reply #2 on: October 15, 2014, 03:58:31 PM »

So when LVs showed Burke leading and RVs showed Walker leading, everyone said RVs were better. Then when LVs showed Walker doing better than RVs, everyone conveniently forgot about that observation. Now that RVs show Walker doing better again, will this Republican talking point be resurrected?

The Yougov poll that was out a week ago also showed a tied race among LV's with Walker ahead among RV's.

I will say that the main criticism from both sides of the aisle here in WI about the MU Poll is that sometimes they have a hard time nailing the proper LV screen.  The sample may be slightly Dem friendly for a midterm but not overly so.  The recall's exit poll showed a R +1 partisan turnout.

One big advantage Burke has is that her TV ad team is far stronger than Walker's.  She's up with a new ad every 5-7 days and the Gov has had only a single spot that really worked, which was the footage of Burke going "um, um, um" trying to define plagiarism. 

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