ID: PPP: Otter up 4 with high undecideds
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  ID: PPP: Otter up 4 with high undecideds
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Author Topic: ID: PPP: Otter up 4 with high undecideds  (Read 2941 times)
Miles
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« on: October 14, 2014, 01:54:28 PM »
« edited: October 14, 2014, 02:14:01 PM by Miles »

Article.

Otter (R)- 39%
Balukoff (D)- 35%
Others- 12%
Not sure- 14%

Horse race:

Otter- 47%
Balukoff- 38%

Row offices

LG
Little (R)- 42%
Marley (D)- 25%
Hartigan (C)- 12%
Not sure- 20%

SOS
Denney (R)- 38%
Woodings (D)- 35%
Not sure- 27%

Treasurer
Crane (R)- 46%
Silver (D)- 32%
Not sure- 22%

AG
Wasden (R)- 52%
Bistline (D)- 26%
Not sure- 22%

Superintendent of Public Instruction
Ybarra (R)- 41%
Jones (D)- 38%
Not sure- 21%
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2014, 01:55:52 PM »

Is this a joke? Lol. Tongue

What happened in this race?
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SWE
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« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2014, 01:58:38 PM »

And we laughed at Larry Sabato
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Chance92
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« Reply #3 on: October 14, 2014, 02:00:57 PM »

What.
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #4 on: October 14, 2014, 02:03:38 PM »

Quote
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Senator & Ambassador Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #5 on: October 14, 2014, 02:17:37 PM »

And Sabato proves correct. Wow.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #6 on: October 14, 2014, 02:18:10 PM »

Balukoff voted for Romney though, so let's see how this race turns out.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7 on: October 14, 2014, 02:24:51 PM »

Balukoff voted for Romney though, so let's see how this race turns out.

He actually blatantly came out and said that?
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Senator & Ambassador Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #8 on: October 14, 2014, 02:27:38 PM »

Balukoff voted for Romney though, so let's see how this race turns out.

He actually blatantly came out and said that?

From Sabato:

In his quest for a third term, Gov. Butch Otter (R) really struggled in his primary, getting only 51 percent of the vote, and weve heard from some sources there that he could be vulnerable. Apparently, Otter is having trouble unifying his party, and deep-pocketed challenger A.J. Balukoff, a conservative Democrat who said he voted for Mitt Romney in 2012, might give disaffected Republicans an alternative (a Libertarian is also running).
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #9 on: October 14, 2014, 02:31:57 PM »

Balukoff voted for Romney though, so let's see how this race turns out.

He actually blatantly came out and said that?

From Sabato:

In his quest for a third term, Gov. Butch Otter (R) really struggled in his primary, getting only 51 percent of the vote, and weve heard from some sources there that he could be vulnerable. Apparently, Otter is having trouble unifying his party, and deep-pocketed challenger A.J. Balukoff, a conservative Democrat who said he voted for Mitt Romney in 2012, might give disaffected Republicans an alternative (a Libertarian is also running).

Interesting. I certainly couldn't support anyone who voted for him.
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #10 on: October 14, 2014, 03:39:56 PM »

Balukoff is Mormon.

The Democratic wave is building!
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #11 on: October 14, 2014, 03:42:02 PM »

Er... okay thanks for that PPP. Wish they had polled Illinois or Maine instead.
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Vega
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« Reply #12 on: October 14, 2014, 04:09:26 PM »

If Balukoff does manage to get elected, it'll be interesting to see him contend with a Republican majority in both state houses and every other elected official being a Republican.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #13 on: October 14, 2014, 04:13:17 PM »

If Balukoff does manage to get elected, it'll be interesting to see him contend with a Republican majority in both state houses and every other elected official being a Republican.

Sounds like he's basically a Republican anyway so he should fit in well enough.
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Vega
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« Reply #14 on: October 14, 2014, 04:15:02 PM »

If Balukoff does manage to get elected, it'll be interesting to see him contend with a Republican majority in both state houses and every other elected official being a Republican.

Sounds like he's basically a Republican anyway so he should fit in well enough.

He's pro-gay marriage, which makes me think that he's fairly liberal on other social issues. His website doesn't make many of his policies clear.
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King
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« Reply #15 on: October 14, 2014, 04:16:16 PM »


Thank you very much a-Mr. Sabato for calling the races that nobody wants to.
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Chance92
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« Reply #16 on: October 14, 2014, 04:18:13 PM »

If Balukoff does manage to get elected, it'll be interesting to see him contend with a Republican majority in both state houses and every other elected official being a Republican.

Dave Freudenthal managed well enough up until 2010, so hey.
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Hash
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« Reply #17 on: October 14, 2014, 04:30:18 PM »

what the christ
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Vega
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« Reply #18 on: October 14, 2014, 04:40:37 PM »

If Balukoff does manage to get elected, it'll be interesting to see him contend with a Republican majority in both state houses and every other elected official being a Republican.

Dave Freudenthal managed well enough up until 2010, so hey.

True. I guess we'll have to see.
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KCDem
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« Reply #19 on: October 14, 2014, 05:27:46 PM »

RIP Otter.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #20 on: October 14, 2014, 05:28:16 PM »

What has Otter done? How could he have pissed off so many conservatives?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #21 on: October 14, 2014, 06:45:25 PM »

What has Otter done? How could he have pissed off so many conservatives?

He's been in office WAAAAAAY too long. Combined with an attempt as a three-term Idaho Governor, he had a whopping four terms as Idahos' Lieutenant Governor. Plus the Luna Laws, which tried to limit teacher's collective bargaining (probably also why the School Superintendent race is also polling very close) and got overturned in 2012 via voter referendums.
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Vega
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« Reply #22 on: October 14, 2014, 07:34:10 PM »

To be fair, conservatives weren't mad when Rick Perry or George Pataki ran for third terms. It's just because of Otter himself.
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KCDem
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« Reply #23 on: October 14, 2014, 07:35:30 PM »

Otter hasn't attacked Marxist Obama enough. Romney Democrat Balukoff is on track to deliver a good spanking.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #24 on: October 14, 2014, 07:36:39 PM »

What has Otter done? How could he have pissed off so many conservatives?

He's been in office WAAAAAAY too long. Combined with an attempt as a three-term Idaho Governor, he had a whopping four terms as Idahos' Lieutenant Governor. Plus the Luna Laws, which tried to limit teacher's collective bargaining (probably also why the School Superintendent race is also polling very close) and got overturned in 2012 via voter referendums.

This, plus he's been a tad too ACA-friendly for many people's taste (I believe he set up a state-run exchange, though I don't remember if he took Medicaid expansion or not). Also, FWIW, Balukoff's ads are great (we get a lot of them in the Spokane are, being so close to CDA). Idaho's schools are notoriously sh**ty and that's essentially the centerpoint of Balukoff's campaign.
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