New Mexico-Gravis: Hillary 13-14% ahead

[eric82oslo]

This poll is a few days old, but since noone has decided to post it yet, I figured I had to do my duty. It didn't include any Susana Martinez match up btw. Here are the poll details: http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/current-new-mexico-polling/

Results for September 27 – October 1, 2014. Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm based in Winter Springs, Fla. recently conducted a random survey of 727-likely registered voters in New Mexico regarding current issues, potential match-ups in 2016 along with statewide political races for the upcoming November 2014 general election. The poll was completed using Gravis Marketing IVR Technology and carries a margin of error of plus/minus 4 percent. Of the 727 individuals polled, 47 percent indicated they align with the Democratic party, 32 percent stated they consider themselves as Republican while 21 percent indicated they were Independent voters.

Match ups:

Hillary vs Rand Paul: 49-36 (D +13%)
Hillary vs Jeb Bush: 50-36 (D +14%)

Rand Paul even beats the Susana Martinez match up from a previous poll! Though it is a likely voter poll.

[Rockefeller GOP]

Don't we all trash Gravis, like, constantly?

[DS0816]

What is Atlas Forum members' estimated adjustable rate for Gravis?

… D+5 or D+6, perhaps?

[IceSpear]

What is Atlas Forum members' estimated adjustable rate for Gravis?

… D+5 or D+6, perhaps?

I just ignore them.

[King]

The next Republican President will New Mexico. That's why there won't be a Republican President for a good while.

[Rockefeller GOP]

The next Republican President will New Mexico. That's why there won't be a Republican President for a good while.

Do you think the state's leftward shift is entirely demographics, or do you think moderate Whites are starting to vote Democrat more, too?

[King]

There's actually been a slight movement to the right among New Mexico whites. They voted 43% for Kerry when Bush won the state in 2004, but 41% for Obama in a landslide win in 2012.

The difference is that Kerry won NM Hispanics by 12 and Obama won them here by 36 over Romney.

The GOP epic failure with Latino voters nationwide pretty much accounts for the entirety of their loss from 2004 to 2008 and 2012, more than any issue like debt or healthcare. If McCain/Romney had gotten the 44% nationwide that Bush got in 2004, they would have won both times.

Passing an immigration bill doesn't solve this problem, either. We aren't an immigrant population in NM and our Republican Governor is very right wing on the issue. Tea Party jingoism needs to go away. It's off-putting.