Quinnipiac: Tie in CT, Cuomo+20 in NY (user search)
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  Quinnipiac: Tie in CT, Cuomo+20 in NY (search mode)
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac: Tie in CT, Cuomo+20 in NY  (Read 2037 times)
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« on: October 08, 2014, 05:41:04 AM »

When was this conducted
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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #1 on: October 08, 2014, 08:09:47 AM »

Checked the nitty gritty. +8 Democrats. Thats not good for Malloy, and tells me personally that Indies are going to be Foley's saving grace should he win considering his lead among them. Indies' influence in New England in general cannot be understated.
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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #2 on: October 08, 2014, 11:24:41 AM »

The fact that this was after an awful debate performance by Foley and a storm of negative ads shows that Malloy is still in deep trouble
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #3 on: October 08, 2014, 01:42:40 PM »

The fact that this was after an awful debate performance by Foley and a storm of negative ads shows that Malloy is still in deep trouble

Yeah, he is in trouble, but he is still more likely than not to win. In Connecticut a tie probably favors the Democrat, and I suspect that the real number is somewhere between Q and PPP.

I wouldn't say that. Malloy won in 2010 after a string of poll leads and only a couple questionable Foley leads and weird voting. And everywhere I go around the state outside the big cities that won't have much turnout, he is loathed by most 90% of the people I talked to about it
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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #4 on: October 08, 2014, 06:07:40 PM »

To be fair, I think sometimes the simple act of living in a state gives you an (unconscious) bias. I'm guessing when you "travel round the state", you aren't exactly criss-crossing all through Connecticut examining every demographic at play, are you? Of course not, because you're not mental. People select the people they talk politics with; so when you talk politics with people, they're more likely to reciprocate if you share a mutual dislike of Malloy.

And, frankly, people like to moan about politicians, but most people prefer status quo in most cases. Even in 2010, a supposed "anti-incumbency" year; only four incumbent Senators and Governors were defeated (Strickland, Culver, Lincoln and Feingold)

It's that I was actively volunteering for the Foley campaign at the time. Even if traveling proved nothing, his crap approval ratings do. I am very passionate about this race because my family has been personally struggling under Malloy
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