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  Talk Elections
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  Quinnipiac: Tie in CT, Cuomo+20 in NY
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac: Tie in CT, Cuomo+20 in NY  (Read 1644 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: October 08, 2014, 05:04:50 am »

CT:

43% Malloy (+3)
43% Foley (-3)
  9% Visconti (+2)

Without Visconti:

46% Malloy (+3)
46% Foley (-3)

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=2091

NY:

51% Cuomo
31% Astorino
  9% Hawkins

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/new-york-state/release-detail?ReleaseID=2092
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1 on: October 08, 2014, 05:18:35 am »

Malloy is picking it back up in CT, looks like the polls were a bit misleading there for quite some time, still will be close though. NY is as usual.
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Free Bird
TheHawk
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« Reply #2 on: October 08, 2014, 05:41:04 am »

When was this conducted
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Free Bird
TheHawk
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« Reply #3 on: October 08, 2014, 08:09:47 am »

Checked the nitty gritty. +8 Democrats. Thats not good for Malloy, and tells me personally that Indies are going to be Foley's saving grace should he win considering his lead among them. Indies' influence in New England in general cannot be understated.
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Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #4 on: October 08, 2014, 08:29:55 am »

Now, this looks much more accurate.

Nice try, PPP.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #5 on: October 08, 2014, 09:05:54 am »

This does conclude, at least, that Foley has lost a good deal of ground. Let's see if that trend continues.

Andrew Lulmo
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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« Reply #6 on: October 08, 2014, 10:04:03 am »

Hahah Cuomo. I'd love to see him held under 60!
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #7 on: October 08, 2014, 10:50:34 am »

New Poll: Connecticut Governor by Quinnipiac University on 2014-10-06

Summary: D: 43%, R: 43%, I: 9%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #8 on: October 08, 2014, 10:52:21 am »

New Poll: New York Governor by Quinnipiac University on 2014-10-06

Summary: D: 51%, R: 31%, I: 9%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Free Bird
TheHawk
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« Reply #9 on: October 08, 2014, 11:24:41 am »

The fact that this was after an awful debate performance by Foley and a storm of negative ads shows that Malloy is still in deep trouble
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backtored
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« Reply #10 on: October 08, 2014, 11:29:36 am »

The fact that this was after an awful debate performance by Foley and a storm of negative ads shows that Malloy is still in deep trouble

Yeah, he is in trouble, but he is still more likely than not to win. In Connecticut a tie probably favors the Democrat, and I suspect that the real number is somewhere between Q and PPP.
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Free Bird
TheHawk
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« Reply #11 on: October 08, 2014, 01:42:40 pm »

The fact that this was after an awful debate performance by Foley and a storm of negative ads shows that Malloy is still in deep trouble

Yeah, he is in trouble, but he is still more likely than not to win. In Connecticut a tie probably favors the Democrat, and I suspect that the real number is somewhere between Q and PPP.

I wouldn't say that. Malloy won in 2010 after a string of poll leads and only a couple questionable Foley leads and weird voting. And everywhere I go around the state outside the big cities that won't have much turnout, he is loathed by most 90% of the people I talked to about it
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c r a b c a k e
CrabCake
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« Reply #12 on: October 08, 2014, 04:53:53 pm »

To be fair, I think sometimes the simple act of living in a state gives you an (unconscious) bias. I'm guessing when you "travel round the state", you aren't exactly criss-crossing all through Connecticut examining every demographic at play, are you? Of course not, because you're not mental. People select the people they talk politics with; so when you talk politics with people, they're more likely to reciprocate if you share a mutual dislike of Malloy.

And, frankly, people like to moan about politicians, but most people prefer status quo in most cases. Even in 2010, a supposed "anti-incumbency" year; only four incumbent Senators and Governors were defeated (Strickland, Culver, Lincoln and Feingold)
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #13 on: October 08, 2014, 05:54:17 pm »

Go Hawkins go!
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Free Bird
TheHawk
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« Reply #14 on: October 08, 2014, 06:07:40 pm »

To be fair, I think sometimes the simple act of living in a state gives you an (unconscious) bias. I'm guessing when you "travel round the state", you aren't exactly criss-crossing all through Connecticut examining every demographic at play, are you? Of course not, because you're not mental. People select the people they talk politics with; so when you talk politics with people, they're more likely to reciprocate if you share a mutual dislike of Malloy.

And, frankly, people like to moan about politicians, but most people prefer status quo in most cases. Even in 2010, a supposed "anti-incumbency" year; only four incumbent Senators and Governors were defeated (Strickland, Culver, Lincoln and Feingold)

It's that I was actively volunteering for the Foley campaign at the time. Even if traveling proved nothing, his crap approval ratings do. I am very passionate about this race because my family has been personally struggling under Malloy
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