Georgia-PPP: Bush slightly ahead, 6 others trailing Clinton

[IceSpear]

Damn, imagine her numbers with a presidential year electorate! Georgia will definitely be in play in 2016.

Yeah, this result is extremely surprising considering it's among 2014 likely voters. You would expect one of the biggest dropoffs in Dem turnout to be in Georgia, though maybe the strong campaigns of Nunn and Carter are mitigating this somewhat.

I think it's hilarious how pundits have wet dreams about Jeb winning California when he can't even manage a comfortable lead in Georgia.

[IceSpear]

If she's struggling in states like Iowa and Colorado what makes you think she's going to contest states like Georgia? The focus will be holding Obama states first and if your up expand the map.

You're assuming that things will stay the exact same as when Obama was the nominee. Granted, things aren't going to change wildly, but they're still going to change. Hillary is stronger in the South and weaker in the West than Obama, both national and state polls consistently show this. CO/IA will be irrelevant if she maintains her current big lead in FL. They're worth a combined 15 electoral votes whereas Florida is worth 29 on its own. As I stated, the critical states where Hillary is stronger than Obama (PA/OH/FL) are far more valuable than the critical states where Obama was stronger than Hillary (CO/IA/NH). 67 electoral votes vs. 19 electoral votes.