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October 29, 2020, 08:57:23 AM

  Talk Elections
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  NBC/Marist: Davis+1 in KS, Branstad+22 in IA
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Author Topic: NBC/Marist: Davis+1 in KS, Branstad+22 in IA  (Read 2372 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: October 05, 2014, 08:23:40 AM »

KS:

44-43 Davis/Brownback

IA:

58-36 Branstad/Hatch

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/kansas-surprise-orman-leads-roberts-10-nbc-marist-poll-n217911
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2014, 08:25:40 AM »

Damn, is Browncrook staging a comeback like Quinn ?
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2014, 08:31:24 AM »

Ugh. I'd rather Brownback lose than Roberts if I had to pick one.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2014, 08:58:05 AM »

What? What's that you say?

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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #4 on: October 05, 2014, 08:59:05 AM »


Roberts is losing by 10.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #5 on: October 05, 2014, 09:01:02 AM »

Brownback will probably win.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #6 on: October 05, 2014, 09:01:20 AM »


Browncrook is closing the gap because backwards Christian fundie voters in KS rather want the corrupt moron Governor to stay on, rather than a guy who visited a strip club once.

The strip club visiting Democrat must be burned at the stake !
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #7 on: October 05, 2014, 09:01:53 AM »

Phil: "Call Paul" is admittedly a catchy tune.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #8 on: October 05, 2014, 09:02:49 AM »


Yeah, that will be corrected soon, too. You will have more Kansas egg on your face after this election, my good friend.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #9 on: October 05, 2014, 09:06:07 AM »

Brownback will win, but Orman was endorsed by the moderate republicans and not a Dem. He can pull it off.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #10 on: October 05, 2014, 09:21:54 AM »

Brownback is losing independents by 15%, there is no way that he wins with numbers like that. Plus, Davis is only at 85% with Democrats, so he's got room to boost that by at least 7-8%.

That is not a comeback for Brownback. But, some people will screech, "IT'S NOT OVER"!!!!!!
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Unbeatable Titan Joni Ernst
Mr. X
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« Reply #11 on: October 05, 2014, 09:55:09 AM »

I'll wait for PPP, one poll does not a comeback make.
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KCDem
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« Reply #12 on: October 05, 2014, 10:57:41 AM »

LOL at people desperate for good news in Kansas now jumping on the poll and claiming excellent news!
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #13 on: October 05, 2014, 11:01:05 AM »

New Poll: Kansas Governor by Marist College on 2014-10-01

Summary: D: 44%, R: 43%, I: 4%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #14 on: October 05, 2014, 11:04:06 AM »

New Poll: Iowa Governor by Marist College on 2014-10-01

Summary: D: 36%, R: 58%, I: 1%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #15 on: October 05, 2014, 11:22:13 AM »


Davis is still leading in this poll Wink Even if it's by 1, it's more likely than not he's ahead.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #16 on: October 05, 2014, 12:11:34 PM »


Davis is still leading in this poll Wink Even if it's by 1, it's more likely than not he's ahead.

You don't think momentum will give Brownback enough support to overcome a one point deficit after trailing by double digits just like two weeks ago? Pass some of that Kool Aid around to your friends here. They're going to need it.
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Lincoln Councillor Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #17 on: October 05, 2014, 12:34:23 PM »


Davis is still leading in this poll Wink Even if it's by 1, it's more likely than not he's ahead.

You don't think momentum will give Brownback enough support to overcome a one point deficit after trailing by double digits just like two weeks ago? Pass some of that Kool Aid around to your friends here. They're going to need it.
When you're an incumbent at only 43% in October, chances are you're going to lose. Let's face it, the only reason Brownback's competitive is because this is in KS, if it was a governor's race in any 2012 swing state (yes, even NC) it'd be Safe D.

Let us know when Brownback finally breaks 45% in a non you gov poll. Or when Roberts is leading or tied in a non you gov poll. You might be waiting for a long time.

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IceSpear
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« Reply #18 on: October 05, 2014, 01:14:37 PM »


lol. Perfect.

Anyway, I doubt Orman is actually leading by 10 or Davis is only leading by 1. Time will tell I guess.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #19 on: October 05, 2014, 01:17:55 PM »


lol. Perfect.

Anyway, I doubt Orman is actually leading by 10 or Davis is only leading by 1. Time will tell I guess.

Davis does have the strip club scandal.  That hurts in Kansas in a way it doesn't in America at large.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #20 on: October 05, 2014, 01:24:35 PM »


Let us know when Brownback finally breaks 45% in a non you gov poll. Or when Roberts is leading or tied in a non you gov poll. You might be waiting for a long time.

Sure. Check back on November 4th.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #21 on: October 05, 2014, 01:28:18 PM »


lol. Perfect.

Anyway, I doubt Orman is actually leading by 10 or Davis is only leading by 1. Time will tell I guess.

Davis does have the strip club scandal.  That hurts in Kansas in a way it doesn't in America at large.

The Suffolk poll was taken after the strip club "scandal" (really?) and it showed no change. Too early to draw any conclusions just based off this, especially since Marist never polled this race before.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #22 on: October 05, 2014, 03:31:59 PM »

Brownback is losing independents by 15%, there is no way that he wins with numbers like that. Plus, Davis is only at 85% with Democrats, so he's got room to boost that by at least 7-8%.

That is not a comeback for Brownback. But, some people will screech, "IT'S NOT OVER"!!!!!!
Brownback can win even if he loses the Indy vote in a landslide - all he needs to do is consolidate the GOP.

Brownback has been campaigning hard for the past month - it doesn't surprise me to see him tying it up. He is a much better politician than Roberts.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #23 on: October 05, 2014, 04:22:29 PM »

Brownback is losing independents by 15%, there is no way that he wins with numbers like that. Plus, Davis is only at 85% with Democrats, so he's got room to boost that by at least 7-8%.

That is not a comeback for Brownback. But, some people will screech, "IT'S NOT OVER"!!!!!!
Brownback can win even if he loses the Indy vote in a landslide - all he needs to do is consolidate the GOP.

Brownback has been campaigning hard for the past month - it doesn't surprise me to see him tying it up. He is a much better politician than Roberts.

Don't you dare argue against the Atlas Bubble Mentality!
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DrScholl
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« Reply #24 on: October 05, 2014, 06:30:08 PM »

Brownback is losing independents by 15%, there is no way that he wins with numbers like that. Plus, Davis is only at 85% with Democrats, so he's got room to boost that by at least 7-8%.

That is not a comeback for Brownback. But, some people will screech, "IT'S NOT OVER"!!!!!!
Brownback can win even if he loses the Indy vote in a landslide - all he needs to do is consolidate the GOP.

Brownback has been campaigning hard for the past month - it doesn't surprise me to see him tying it up. He is a much better politician than Roberts.

I think you are forgetting that a big chunk of the Republican vote is from independents, so no, Brownback cannot lose independents in a landslide and still win.
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