3rd wave of YouGov/CBS/NYT Senate polls out tomorrow

[Tender Branson]

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http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/04/upshot/letter-from-the-editor-pollings-past-present-and-future.html

[RI]

Here they come to mess up all our polling averages. Thanks YouGov for being awful.

[SPC]

Let's see if they can finally get a good result for Michigan.

[IceSpear]

Damn, I was enjoying their absence.

[IceSpear]

Let's see if they can finally get a good result for Michigan.

Don't they poll the exact same people every time? That would explain why the wonky results stay wonky. Because of this, I'm not even sure they qualify as polls. They don't have a random sample.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Let's see if they can remember to poll the runoff in LA as well as the jungle, and if they get a good result for KS gov.

[The Other Castro]

They'll probably have Taylor and no Orman in KS senate polling :/
Needless to say, get your pillars of salt ready

[Andrew1]

Meh. These polls have been discredited for using doubtful methodology. All these polls tell us is how YouGov's panel is voting. Their previous results were largely junk.

[Tender Branson]

They'll probably have Taylor and no Orman in KS senate polling :/
Needless to say, get your pillars of salt ready

They will likely still have Taylor's name included, yeah.

YouGov's polls are conducted over a 3-week timespan and Taylor was not removed from the ballot until a few days ago.

It's better to put more weighting into Marist/NBC's poll from KS which is also out tomorrow.

[Flake]

Here they come to mess up all our polling averages. Thanks YouGov for being awful.

says the person that put in all the yougov polls

[Miles]

Here they come to mess up all our polling averages. Thanks YouGov for being awful.

says the person that put in all the yougov polls

We entered in the YouGov polls last cycle, too.

[RI]

Here they come to mess up all our polling averages. Thanks YouGov for being awful.

says the person that put in all the yougov polls

We entered in the YouGov polls last cycle, too.

Yeah, if I don't do it someone else will.

[Flake]

Here they come to mess up all our polling averages. Thanks YouGov for being awful.

says the person that put in all the yougov polls

We entered in the YouGov polls last cycle, too.

Yeah, if I don't do it someone else will.

Really nobody should be entering these polls because they're among the worst I've seen (and they repoll the same people as before-as we've seen with the first and second waves).

[DrScholl]

Even if the results don't appear to be that great, I don't know if it's really fair to leave independent polls out of the database.

[eric82oslo]

Here they come to mess up all our polling averages. Thanks YouGov for being awful.

says the person that put in all the yougov polls

We entered in the YouGov polls last cycle, too.

Yeah, if I don't do it someone else will.

Same thing said the nazi camp managers btw lol. Just kidding.

[free my dawg]

Even if the results don't appear to be that great, I don't know if it's really fair to leave independent polls out of the database.

YouGov's KS-Gov polls should be ignored. Brownback is outperforming his own internals by massive margins there.

[Miles]

Article with the numbers on the Upshot.

McConnell +6
Cassidy +6
Sullivan +6
Cotton +4
Perdue +4
Roberts/Orman tied
Braley +1 (!)
Hagan +1
Udall +3
Peters +5
Franken +7
Shaheen +7

[Tender Branson]

[Lief 🗽]

Pretty good numbers for the Democrats.

[SPC]

Looks like YouGov is copying Rasmussen's technique of putting out numbers closer to the consensus as Election Day gets closer.

[Tender Branson]

All races (right-click for big version):

[xavier110]

These are very promising numbers -- losing just AK/LA/AR would be great

[eric82oslo]

I'm glad to see Shenna Bellows numbers continuing to improve. She's down to a 24% deficit now. If this trend keeps about the same speed, she should be within 20% by another week or two. When the campaign started, I think she was down by 40% or more.

Also, Cochran is up by only 11%!

I don't buy that Maness has only 4% in Louisiana though. The real number is probably around 14%. Nearly every single third party group has endorsed him it seems.

[Miles]

Pressler down to 12%. There's a high MoE for the SD poll, though.

[Lief 🗽]

Pressler was only at 7% in the last YouGov poll, so that's actually an improvement.

But 7% MoE means the poll is garbage anyway.