Which states do the GOP pickup (updated)?

[solarstorm]

Write-in: none

I'm not saying that it's totally unrealistic that some of the state will go to the devil's column, but the fact that Michigan and New Hampshire are listed is truly ridiculous.

[Free Bird]

Write-in: none

I'm not saying that it's totally unrealistic that some of the state will go to the devil's column, but the fact that Michigan and New Hampshire are listed is truly ridiculous.

I only put them there because if I didn't, someone would whine about it

[KCDem]

None of them. Clean Democratic sweep.

[Maxwell]

None of them. Clean Democratic sweep.

So PPP is now a rightwing rag? come on

[SNJ1985]

I'm going with Alaska, Arkansas, Iowa and Louisiana.

[Dixie Reborn]

None of them. Clean Democratic sweep.

lol

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

None of them. Clean Democratic sweep.

Cute.

[backtored]

I'm expecting really good things from the gold standard of Iowa polling tonight:

Ernst +3 or +4.

That would mean that, of the states listed here, the GOP would net CO, AR, AK, LA, and now IA.  I think that NC will wind up very tight, though I don't know who wins.

[7,052,770]

Write-in: none

I'm not saying that it's totally unrealistic that some of the state will go to the devil's column, but the fact that Michigan and New Hampshire are listed is truly ridiculous.

I only put them there because if I didn't, someone would whine about it

It didn't occur to you that people would whine about not having a NOTA option?

[Tender Branson]

I'm expecting really good things from the gold standard of Iowa polling tonight:

Ernst +3 or +4.

That would mean that, of the states listed here, the GOP would net CO, AR, AK, LA, and now IA.  I think that NC will wind up very tight, though I don't know who wins.

I predict DMR/Selzer will show Braley+2 (48-46) today.

[Free Bird]

Write-in: none

I'm not saying that it's totally unrealistic that some of the state will go to the devil's column, but the fact that Michigan and New Hampshire are listed is truly ridiculous.

I only put them there because if I didn't, someone would whine about it

It didn't occur to you that people would whine about not having a NOTA option?

Because I didn't think people would be that delusional

[Bigby]

Most likely Alaska, Arkansas, and Louisiana. Iowa is also likely, but not as likely as the other three. If current trends continue, Colorado may very well go Republican. There might be some chance with Michigan and/or New Hampshire, but I think it isn't as likely. North Carolina seems to be lost.

By god you just summarized my thoughts

Is that good or bad?

[SWE]

Write-in: none

I'm not saying that it's totally unrealistic that some of the state will go to the devil's column, but the fact that Michigan and New Hampshire are listed is truly ridiculous.

I only put them there because if I didn't, someone would whine about it

It didn't occur to you that people would whine about not having a NOTA option?

Because I didn't think people would be that delusional

But you didn't think people who would whine about NH not being listed would be delusional?

[Representative Joe Mad]

I went with Alaska, Arkansas, and Louisiana.  That being said, I could also see Colorado and Iowa slipping away as well.  Depending on how the night goes I see Colorado pulling through for the dems before Iowa, honestly.  I've this sinking feeling that Braley might continue to piss away a perfectly winnable race.

[Free Bird]

I went with Alaska, Arkansas, and Louisiana.  That being said, I could also see Colorado and Iowa slipping away as well.  Depending on how the night goes I see Colorado pulling through for the dems before Iowa, honestly.  I've this sinking feeling that Braley might continue to piss away a perfectly winnable race.

Then you're right http://freebeacon.com/politics/bruce-braley-cashes-out-on-oil-stocks-bashes-joni-ernsts-ties-to-oil/

[Rockefeller GOP]

For some reason, I'm really pessimistic.  Hopefully I'm pleasantly surprised, but I'm going with just Iowa, Alaska and barely Louisiana...

[SPC]

For some reason, I'm really pessimistic.  Hopefully I'm pleasantly surprised, but I'm going with just Iowa, Alaska and barely Louisiana...

Your pessimistic scenario involves the GOP taking the Senate? (Unless you think they will lose Kansas)

[Del Tachi]

Results for all of these races!

Iowa:  Ernst, 50%; Braley 48%
Alaska:  Sullivan, 51%; Begich 46%
North Carolina:  Hagan, 48%; Tillis, 46%
Arkansas:  Cotton, 55%; Pryor, 44%
Louisiana (runoff):  Cassidy, 51%; Landrieu, 49%
Colorado:  Gardner, 51%; Udall, 48%
New Hampshire: Shaheen, 53%; Brown, 45%
Michigan: Peters 52%; Land, 47%

[Rockefeller GOP]

For some reason, I'm really pessimistic.  Hopefully I'm pleasantly surprised, but I'm going with just Iowa, Alaska and barely Louisiana...

Your pessimistic scenario involves the GOP taking the Senate? (Unless you think they will lose Kansas)

Maybe I should have more correctly chosen my words, but I meant I'm not as confident in most of these "tipping point" races.  However, luckily the GOP has a few really easy pickups, too.

[Representative Joe Mad]

Results for all of these races!

Iowa:  Ernst, 50%; Braley 48%
Alaska:  Sullivan, 51%; Begich 46%
North Carolina:  Hagan, 48%; Tillis, 46%
Arkansas:  Cotton, 55%; Pryor, 44%
Louisiana (runoff):  Cassidy, 51%; Landrieu, 49%
Colorado:  Gardner, 51%; Udall, 48%
New Hampshire: Shaheen, 53%; Brown, 45%
Michigan: Peters 52%; Land, 47%

Aside from the Colorado race(and possibly Iowa) I think your post is pretty accurate.  While I truly believe Colorado will go dem, I see real potential for an R upset . And Iowa could go R just because Braley seems to have decided he doesn't want to be senator.

[Sbane]

Write-in: none

I'm not saying that it's totally unrealistic that some of the state will go to the devil's column, but the fact that Michigan and New Hampshire are listed is truly ridiculous.

I only put them there because if I didn't, someone would whine about it

It didn't occur to you that people would whine about not having a NOTA option?

Because I didn't think people would be that delusional

Even though Harry showed you the likelihood of a democratic sweep is just as probable as a republican sweep? You are a hack.

[backtored]

Results for all of these races!

Iowa:  Ernst, 50%; Braley 48%
Alaska:  Sullivan, 51%; Begich 46%
North Carolina:  Hagan, 48%; Tillis, 46%
Arkansas:  Cotton, 55%; Pryor, 44%
Louisiana (runoff):  Cassidy, 51%; Landrieu, 49%
Colorado:  Gardner, 51%; Udall, 48%
New Hampshire: Shaheen, 53%; Brown, 45%
Michigan: Peters 52%; Land, 47%

[Mr. Illini]

Write-in: none

I'm not saying that it's totally unrealistic that some of the state will go to the devil's column, but the fact that Michigan and New Hampshire are listed is truly ridiculous.

I only put them there because if I didn't, someone would whine about it

It didn't occur to you that people would whine about not having a NOTA option?

Because I didn't think people would be that delusional

NOTA is more delusional than a GOP victory in New Hampshire?

Perhaps you're the delusional one.

[Horus]

Arkansas, Louisiana, Iowa.