AR: Suffolk: Hillary, Huck favored at home (w/o Romney)

[Miles]

Article.

Huckabee- 39%
Perry- 8%
Cruz- 7%
Paul- 6%
Bush- 5%
Christie- 5%
Rubio- 5%
Jindal- 3%
Ryan- 3%
Hunstman- 2%
Santorum- 2%
Walker- 2%
Kasich- 1%

Romney- 33%
Huckabee- 29%
Perry- 6%
Cruz- 6%
Christie- 3%
Paul- 3%
Huntsman- 2%
Rubio- 2%
Ryan- 2%
Bush- 1%
Santorum- 1%
Walker- 1%
Kasich- 0%
Jindal- 0%

Clinton- 71%
Biden- 8%
Cuomo- 5%
Warren- 3%
O'Malley- 2%


400+ pages worth of crosstabs for this poll.

[tmthforu94]

Governor Romney will sweep to the nomination in spectacular fashion!

[IceSpear]

Brian Schweitzer will demolish Hillary in Arkansas because he's so folksy.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Ouch, this one's a real shocker. I'm very surprised to see Romney up anywhere in the south over Huckabee let alone his home state. 2012 was even before Huck declined.

Contrary to what I said in the poll thread, Romney must have a hard time declining this opportunity again. I don't get the popularity whatsoever though when he was so hated through the 2012 primaries. I still don't think he'll run because then he's just gonna get beat in an inelastic GE again. It won't be fun at all.

[Mr. Morden]

Clinton's fav/unfav among all Arkansas voters, according to this poll:

45/49% for -4%

Among Democrats only:

84/12% for +72%

Ouch, this one's a real shocker. I'm very surprised to see Romney up anywhere in the south over Huckabee let alone his home state. 2012 was even before Huck declined.

Suffolk includes Romney in their polls in a weird way that stacks the deck in his favor.  First, they poll all of the GOP contenders except Romney.  Then they ask this question:

"If I added Mitt Romney to that list, would you still vote for ______, or vote for Romney....or someone else?"

So it's not really a fair way of posing the question when you put it like that.  They're listing Romney separately in a different question.  That's inevitably going to inflate his numbers.