KS-Rasmussen: Orman+5
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Author Topic: KS-Rasmussen: Orman+5  (Read 2019 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« on: September 19, 2014, 09:54:13 AM »

45% Orman (I)
40% Roberts (R)

Link later.
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Senator Cris
Cris
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: September 19, 2014, 11:50:02 AM »

With Taylor still on the ballot, incumbent Republican Senator Pat Roberts picks up 39% of the vote, while Independent candidate Greg Orman has 38% support. Taylor earns nine percent (9%). Two percent (2%) say they prefer some other candidate in the race, and 12% are undecided.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2014/kansas/election_2014_kansas_senate
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IceSpear
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E: -6.19, S: -6.43

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« Reply #2 on: September 19, 2014, 12:50:54 PM »

Dominating! Time for Gregory the Gallant to turn the DC fossil into fuel!
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #3 on: September 19, 2014, 01:16:50 PM »

Taylor still has 3% in this. The poll was entered incorrectly into the database.
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eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: September 20, 2014, 03:58:50 AM »

Dominating! Time for Gregory the Gallant to turn the DC fossil into fuel!

He can substitute the entire Keystone pipeline by himself. Cheesy
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eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: September 20, 2014, 03:59:42 AM »

Taylor still has 3% in this. The poll was entered incorrectly into the database.

Those still answering Taylor to the pollster should be spanked, and spanked really hard.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #6 on: September 20, 2014, 08:17:43 AM »

RCP still thinks that Taylor is on the ballot:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/senate/ks/kansas_senate_roberts_vs_taylor_vs_orman-5206.html

LOL.

It messes up their whole average for KS.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #7 on: September 21, 2014, 12:34:55 PM »

Honestly.

They specifically say in their analysis that Taylor isn't on the ballot, yet they don't have a Roberts vs. Orman average.
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eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: September 21, 2014, 05:38:11 PM »

Honestly.

They specifically say in their analysis that Taylor isn't on the ballot, yet they don't have a Roberts vs. Orman average.

That's probably because RCP has always been a Republican-leaning publication. Almost half of all articles they're linking to are science-denying far right propaganda articles. Not to talk about Sean Trende, who happens to seriously believe that a Republican presidential candidate would easily win even if every single Republican in the US were obliterated from the face of the earth. That's how serious RCP is.
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Vega
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: September 21, 2014, 05:44:11 PM »

Honestly.

They specifically say in their analysis that Taylor isn't on the ballot, yet they don't have a Roberts vs. Orman average.

That's probably because RCP has always been a Republican-leaning publication. Almost half of all articles they're linking to are science-denying far right propaganda articles. Not to talk about Sean Trende, who happens to seriously believe that a Republican presidential candidate would easily win even if every single Republican in the US were obliterated from the face of the earth. That's how serious RCP is.

There isn't really a point for RCP anymore, too.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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E: -1.42, S: -0.52

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« Reply #10 on: September 21, 2014, 06:01:18 PM »

Honestly.

They specifically say in their analysis that Taylor isn't on the ballot, yet they don't have a Roberts vs. Orman average.

That's probably because RCP has always been a Republican-leaning publication. Almost half of all articles they're linking to are science-denying far right propaganda articles. Not to talk about Sean Trende, who happens to seriously believe that a Republican presidential candidate would easily win even if every single Republican in the US were obliterated from the face of the earth. That's how serious RCP is.

Trende isn't always super optimistic about republicans. He wrote this in april: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2014/04/17/could_democrats_gain_senate_seats_this_fall_122301.html

--------------

I use RCP to help in gathering polling data, but I don't usually take their averages verbatim when it comes to my ratings. I'll eliminate things like yougov, outliers, quasi-internals, etc. and take what's left, sometimes adding in other polls that I know about but aren't included in the present average for whatever reason.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #11 on: September 21, 2014, 10:25:20 PM »

RCP is a pretty good resource, mostly for their "latest polls" page. The problem with them is that the length of time they include any given poll in the average tends to be pretty arbitrary. So far in 2014 it hasn't really been a problem, but I recall several instances of them cooking their averages a bit in 2012. One time two polls had the same exact field dates, but the one that was better for the Democrats wasn't included whereas the other one was. Or a poll with a field date of say, 7/1 - 7/21 being included, but not one with a field date of 7/17-7/19 when it's pretty obvious that the latter is more relevant.
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