1924: Harding Lives for Re-election...
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs?
  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderator: Dereich)
  1924: Harding Lives for Re-election...
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Author Topic: 1924: Harding Lives for Re-election...  (Read 675 times)
Mr. Smith
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« on: September 08, 2014, 09:59:04 PM »

...Would he have any chance of actually winning? Or would the Democrats strikes back this time? Looking at 1924,the Democrats were actually very unified in their hatred of Harding....they were going very strong until it came down to deciding between Al Smith and William Gibbs McAdoo.

Whereas the GOP got as far as they did because Coolidge was far enough different from Harding, and even then there was a divide between the establishment/conservatives and the liberals who were going for La Follette.

And then there was the Teapot Dome scandal.

My suspicions is that if Harding had lived, the nomination would've gone to William Gibbs McAdoo and Al Smith would've been the regional balancer. This would throw the whole country except the Northeast, Ohio,Wisconsin, and maybe Utah to the Democrats.

Discuss with maps.
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shua
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« Reply #1 on: September 09, 2014, 11:25:19 PM »

Harding, suffering scandal the past few years, did his best to communicate a new commitment to honest dealings during his tours throughout the country. He also reached out somewhat to the progressive members of his party on issues such as labor rights, but could not keep back a strong challenge from Senator La Folette running on the Progressive ticket.  The Democrats, after a contentious convention, nominated John W. Davis as a compromise candidate. For his running mate they chose Senator John Kendrick, to balance the Eastern conservative Davis with a popular Western progressive, as well as to draw attention to the Teapot Dome Scandal which Kendrick had played a role in uncovering. The Democrats hit hard on Harding's record of scandal, but the combination of a division in the anti-incumbency vote, as well as the improvements in the economy over the previous four years, allowed Harding and Coolidge to win reelection.



President Warren G. Harding (R-OH)/ VP Calvin Coolidge (R-MA) 314  44.0%
Fmr Amb. John W. Davis (D-WV)/ Sen. John B. Kendrick (D-WY) 192  36.9%
Sen. Robert La Folette (R/P-WI)/ Sen. Burton K. Wheeler (D/P-MT) 25  18.5%

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