LA-Rasmussen: Cassidy (R) takes the lead

[tmthforu94]

Landrieu was leading 48-44 in the other poll. And Cassidy was the worser of the candidates.

I am not counting out Landrieu, she has won close races before.

Mary Landrieu is the most vulnerable incumbent facing re-election. She needs to hit 50% on November 4th and I simply don't see that happening. And I highly doubt she prevails in a low-turnout runoff, especially if Senate control hangs in balance.

[tmthforu94]

Given that Landrieu has won two runoffs in the past, I'm guessing that she's not in the hideous shape that some people think she's in.

Louisiana has gone farther to the right, Obama is deeply unpopular, and the race would be heavily nationalized in a runoff, especially if Senate control is up for grabs. She may be a skilled politician, but this is going to be an environment unlike what she has faced in past elections.