FL: Tampa Bay Times: Scott opening lead

[Donerail]

It's time to toss this poll right where it belongs... IN THE GARBAGE.

If it had Crist up you'd cry "DOMINATING!"

Anyway, this isn't a partisan issue, the poll is junk because it uses decimals, is weighted by party ID, shows an R+5 sample even though party ID was even in 2010, and showed Romney up 6 in 2012 the day before the Election. Is that really not enough for you?

This is false. The Romney+6 poll was conducted by Braun Research, while this poll was conducted by UF's Bob Graham Center.

To summarize Matt Florell's criticisms, it has a fairly small sample size, weighed by media market (rather unheard of for public polling), failed to weigh by gender and race. Additionally, the problem here isn't that it's weighted by party ID but rather that it chose a strange way of doing so. I wouldn't consider this accurate.

[Donerail]

Ehh... 2018 is the election that matters for FL Democrats.  And if I were them, I would rather be running at the end of Scott's 2nd term than trying to get Crist re-elected against a normal, ethical generic GOP opponent.

I really rather wouldn't - it's probably easier to re-elect an incumbent Democrat than try to win an open seat (with what candidate?) against Adam Putnam.

[Donerail]

Ehh... 2018 is the election that matters for FL Democrats.  And if I were them, I would rather be running at the end of Scott's 2nd term than trying to get Crist re-elected against a normal, ethical generic GOP opponent.

I really rather wouldn't - it's probably easier to re-elect an incumbent Democrat than try to win an open seat (with what candidate?) against Adam Putnam.

Isn't Crist term limited though? He can't run for reelection in 2018 IIRC. If I am right (and a little research on my part would most likely prove me wrong), the Democrats will have to find someone else to run. Crist will run for Senate in that case (unless Nelson doesn't retire, but I suspect he has run his last race).

Yeah, Flo's right - Florida law prohibits governors from serving two consecutive terms in office. Conceivably, Crist could run in 2014, 2018, 2026, 2030, 2038, and so on.