2008 Presidential Election: Game Thread

[NHI]

Battleground Polls: Two-way

Ohio: R+2
Republican: 49%
Democrat: 47%

Pennsylvania: D+4
Democrat: 50%
Republican: 46%

Florida: R+3
Republican: 50%
Democrat: 47%

Wisconsin: D+0.5
Democrat: 48.0%
Republican: 47.5%

Iowa: D+1
Democrat: 48%
Republican: 47%

New Hampshire: R+1.5
Republican: 49.0%
Democrat: 47.5%

Nevada: Tied
Republican: 48.01%
Democrat: 48.00%

California: D+9
Democrat: 51%
Republican: 42%

New York: R+3
Republican: 48%
Democrat: 45%

New Jersey: D+1
Democrat: 47%
Republican: 46%

Minnesota: D+3
Democrat: 48%
Republican: 45%

Colorado: R+4
Republican: 49%
Democrat: 45%

New Mexico: D+0.5
Democrat: 49.0%
Republican: 48.5%

Average Battleground States: D+0.43

Democrats: 47.73%
Republican: 47.30%

Key Senate Races: 2008

NH: R Incumbent (R+3)
John Sununu: 48%
Jeanne Shaheen: 45%

NC: R Incumbent (R+6)
Elizabeth Dole: 51%
Kay Hagan: 45%

MN: R Incumbent (R+1)
Norm Coleman: 48%
Al Franken: 47%

OR: R Incumbent (R+2)
Gordon Smith: 49%
Democrat: 47%

LA: D Incumbent (R+1)
John Neely Kennedy: 48%
Mary Landrieu: 47%

AK: R Incumbent (D+1)
Mark Begich: 46%
Ted Stevens: 45%

NH Senate Republican Primary: Sununu +12
John Sununu: 54%
Bob Smith: 42%

AK Senate Republican Primary: Palin +5
Sarah Palin: 50%
Ted Stevens: 45%

[NewYorkExpress]

Hillary Clinton-New Endorsements

President of the Iowa Board of Regents Michael Gartner


Former U.S Secretary of Transportation Neil Goldschmidt (D-OR)


Former Lieutenant Governor Jo Ann Zimmerman (D-IA)


Former Senator John Melcher (D-MT)


Orlando Mayor Buddy Dyer

[NewYorkExpress]

Hillary Clinton March to Iowa-Surrogate Schedule Summaries

Former Congressman Dick Swett (D-NH)


GOTV in Nashua, Lebanon, Concord and Keene, New Hampshire

EMILY'S LIST
Nationwide GOTV

The National Urban League
GOTV in Latino and African-American Majority precincts.

Congressman Dick Gephardt (D-MO)

GOTV in Iowa for Clinton, Campaigning for Jay Nixon in St. Louis and Rolla (Missouri Governor), and Judy Baker in Hannibal, Missouri (Missouri CD-9)

Senator Harry Reid (D-NV)

GOTV in Nevada

Congressman John Lewis (D-GA)

GOTV in African American Majority Precincts in Florida, South Carolina and Michigan

Governor Tim Kaine (D-VA)

GOTV in Florida and South Carolina

All others
Either in Iowa, traveling with President Clinton or Senator Clinton, or not campaigning this turn.

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

One day extension please? So the caucuses will start Tuesday.

[NewYorkExpress]

One day extension please? So the caucuses will start Tuesday.

While I like the symbolism, it's not a valid reason for delaying the turn IMO... Of course NHI's is the only one that matters.

[DKrol]

One day extension please? So the caucuses will start Tuesday.

While I like the symbolism, it's not a valid reason for delaying the turn IMO... Of course NHI's is the only one that matters.

Second. Also, constantly delaying the rounds is getting annoying. If you can't meet the time restrictions than sit that round out or make time.

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

One day extension please? So the caucuses will start Tuesday.

While I like the symbolism, it's not a valid reason for delaying the turn IMO... Of course NHI's is the only one that matters.

Second. Also, constantly delaying the rounds is getting annoying. If you can't meet the time restrictions than sit that round out or make time.

Ok, so I will just stick with the Sunday deadline

[NHI]

I agree on the symbolism - but I believe we should keep the deadline.

[DKrol]

Rudy Giuliani Campaign Schedule for Dec. 27th-Jan. 1st, 2007

President Giuliani's 2008 Campaign Staff
Honorary Co-Chairmen: Dick Cheney and Tim Pawlenty
Campaign Manager: Mary Matalin
Chief of Staff: Joe Allbaugh
Press Secretary: Dana Perino
Finance Director: Fred Malek
Chief Pollsters: Neil Newhouse and Bill McInturff
Co-Directors of the Vice Presidential Search Committee: Kay Hutchison, Beth Myers, and Matt Rhodes

December 27th, 2007; New York
-- Christmas Vacation
-- Appearance on “The O’Reilly Factor”
-- Drive to Massachusetts

December 28th, 2007; Massachusetts
-- Speak at the JFK School of Government
-- Meet-and-Greet at Harvard
-- Lead a meeting of the Harvard Model United Nations

December 29th, 2007; Massachusetts
-- Interview on WBZ-TV in Boston
-- Meet with State Senator Scott Brown and former Governor Jane Swift
-- Tour Faneuil Hall
-- Shop at Quincy Market
-- Drive to New Hampshire

December 30th, 2007; New Hampshire
-- Shop at Market Basket in Concord, NH
-- Speak at the University of New Hampshire School of Law
-- Tour the New Hampshire State Prison for Men
-- Fly to New York

December 31st, 2007; New York
-- Appearance on “The Early Show”
-- Meet with Mayor Bloomberg at Gracie Mansion
-- Drop the ball in Times Square
-- Fly to Washington, D.C.

January 1st, 2008; Washington, D.C.
-- Meet with the VP Search Committee
-- Attend briefing in the Situation Room
-- Hold conference call with Spkr. Hastert, Rep. Pelosi, Sen. McConnell, and Sen. Reid.

[NewYorkExpress]

Hillary Clinton's March to Iowa- Schedule for Chelsea Clinton

December 27, 2007

GOTV in McGregor, Iowa (With Jo Ann Zimmerman)

GOTV in Volga, Iowa (With Jo Ann Zimmerman and Patty Judge)

GOTV in Monona, Iowa

GOTV in Elkader, Iowa

GOTV in Farmersburg, Iowa (With Jo Ann Zimmerman and Jack Hatch)

December 28, 2007

GOTV in Edgewood, Iowa (With Michael Gartner)

GOTV in Ryan, Iowa (With Jo Ann Zimmerman)

GOTV in Greeley, Iowa

GOTV in Colesburg, Iowa (With Vernon Jordan and Jack Hatch)

GOTV in Dehli, Iowa

GOTV in Hopkinton, Iowa

December 29, 2007

GOTV in Earlville, Iowa

Meet Voters at the National Farm Toy Museum, Dyersville, Iowa


GOTV in Zwingle, Iowa (With Roy Buol and Sally Pedersen)

GOTV in La Motte, Iowa

December 30, 2007

GOTV in Preston, Iowa

GOTV in Maquoketa, Iowa

Meet Voters at the Clinton Engine Museum, Maquoteka, Iowa


GOTV in DeWitt, South Dakota

December 31/New Years Eve

GOTV in Goose Lake, Iowa

GOTV in Wheatland, Iowa

GOTV in Charlotte, Iowa

GOTV in Wyoming, Iowa

GOTV in Cascade, Iowa

GOTV in Monticello, Iowa

January 1, 2007/New Year's Day

GOTV in Martelle, Iowa

GOTV in Anamosa, Iowa

GOTV in Independence, Iowa

GOTV in Jesup, Iowa

GOTV in Evansdale, Iowa

[rpryor03]

John Kerry is joined by Sen. Ted Kennedy in NH for the whole week, except for Dec. 31 and Jan 1, in which they rest for New Years. 'Kerry's the Man' ad runs in all Jan and Feb primary states.

[Senator Cris]

John McCain: 4 days in Iowa and 2 in South Carolina, for a series of GOTV Events, Meet and Greets and Town Halls.
Charlie Crist:2 days in Iowa, 2 in Florida and 2 in South Carolina, for a series of GOTV Events, Meet and Greets, Town Halls and Rallies.

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

Last Week in Iowa: Evan Bayh

December 27, 2007-January 1, 2008

Sen. Bayh talks with college students at the University of Iowa

December 27, 2007
Morning: Arrived in Iowa
Morning: Meeting with the campaign staff
Afternoon: Taped ads in Dubuque, Iowa
Afternoon: Barnstorming in Dubuque, Iowa
Evening: Bayh’s meet and greet fundraising dinner in West des Moines, Iowa
Evening: Bayh’s fundraising dinner in West des Moines, Iowa

December 28, 2007
Morning: Morning jog with supporters in West des Moines, Iowa
Morning: Visit schools in West des Moines, Iowa
Afternoon: Barnstorming in Ames, Iowa
Afternoon: Barnstorming in Ankeny, Iowa
Evening: Barnstorming in Urbandale, Iowa
Evening: Rest and meeting with the campaign staff for strategies

December 29, 2007
Morning: Meet and Greet voters in Council Bluffs, Iowa
Morning: Barnstorming in Council Bluffs, Iowa
Afternoon: GOTV Rally in Waterloo, Iowa
Afternoon: Town hall in Waterloo, Iowa
Evening: Bayh’s  fundraising dinner in Iowa City, Iowa
Evening:Prepare for television appearances

December 30,2007
Morning: Interview at Good Morning America
Morning: Interview at This Week
Morning: Interview at Meet the Press
Morning: Interview at Face the Nation
Morning: Interview at Late Edition
Morning: Interview at Fox News Sunday
Afternoon: Press Conference in Iowa City, Iowa   
Afternoon: Barnstorming in Iowa City, Iowa
Evening: Bayh’s  fundraising dinner in Sioux City, Iowa
Evening: Rest and meeting with the campaign staff for strategies

December 31, 2007
Morning: Bus tour & Meet and Greet in Sioux City, Iowa
Morning: Barnstorming in Sioux City, Iowa
Afternoon: Bus tour & Meet and Greet in Davenport, Iowa   
Afternoon: Barnstorming in Davenport, Iowa
Evening: Bus tour & Meet and Greet in Des Moines, Iowa
Evening: Barnstorming in Des Moines, Iowa
Evening: Countdown for New Year in Des Moines, Iowa

January 1, 2007
Morning: Bus tour & Meet and Greet in Cedar Rapids, Iowa
Morning: Barnstorming in Cedar Rapids, Iowa
Afternoon: Q&A in University of Iowa
Afternoon: Barnstorming in Des Moines, Iowa
Evening: Bus tour & Meet and Greet in West des Moines, Iowa
Evening: Bayh’s fundraising dinner in West des Moines, Iowa
Evening: Issue final statement before caucuses

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

Ads

December 27, 2007- January 1, 2007

ALL ADS AIRING IN ALL STATES


New Ad: Voting (inspired from Jimmy Carter's 1980 ad: Ballot)
Airing in all states

TRUMAN: I only have one request to make of you. Vote on election day. Vote for yourselves. You don't have to vote for me. Vote in your own interests, and when you do that you can only vote one way. Vote for the welfare of the country, vote for the welfare of the world, and vote for your own welfare by voting the Democratic ticket straight on November

JIMMY CARTER: Vote also in these standards in the primaries. We cannot succeed if we vote for people who are just speaking, but they cannot get things done. I know Sen. Bayh, his experience as an effective leader in his state and in the Senate. Let's get this country moving forward by voting an effective leader this primaries

NARRATOR: Make your vote historic, by voting an effective leader. Evan Bayh for President

BAYH (voiceover) I'm Evan Bayh and I approve this message
IDS Emperor Maxwell: I've got Carter first

[Former Lincoln Assemblyman & Lt. Gov. RGN]

Surrogates: Evan Bayh

December 27, 2007- January 1, 2008

I won't put new endorsements this time.

But all of the Bayh endorsers are in different parts of Iowa to aid the Senator in campaigning and answering questions as well as appearing in television programs most especially, political talk shows

Organizations who endorsed the Senator will assist the Bayh campaign in GOTV efforts in internet and in different parts of the country, most especially in Jan-Super Tuesdays primary states

[NewYorkExpress]

Hillary Clinton-Countdown to Iowa; Schedule for Bill Clinton

December 27, 2007

GOTV in Hinton, Iowa

GOTV in Akron, Iowa

GOTV in Remsen, Iowa

Meet Voters at the Ice Cream Capital of the World Museum, Le Mars, Iowa


December 28, 2007

GOTV in Granville,Iowa

GOTV in Hospers, Iowa

GOTV in Rock Valley, Iowa

GOTV in Hull, Iowa

GOTV in Boyden, Iowa

December 29, 2007

GOTV in Sutherland, Iowa

GOTV in Archer, Iowa

GOTV in Primghar, Iowa

GOTV in Melvin, Iowa

GOTV in Sibley, Iowa

December 30, 2007

Tour Victory Motorcycles factory in Spirit Lake, Iowa (With Laura Tyson)


GOTV in Lake Park, Iowa

GOTV in Ringsted, Iowa

GOTV in Estherville, Iowa

GOTV in Armstrong, Iowa

December 31/New Year's Eve

GOTV in Lu Verne, Iowa

GOTV in Bradgate, Iowa

GOTV in Thor, Iowa

GOTV in Dakota City, Iowa

GOTV in Rutland, Iowa

January 1, 2008/New Year's Day

GOTV in Humboldt, Iowa (With Maria Shriver and Jack Hatch)

Perform Ceremonial Coin Toss at the 2008 Gator Bowl, Jacksonville Municipal Stadium, Jacksonville, Florida.

[Maxwell]

Howard Dean broke his leg while campaigning in Iowa during December the 28th, but he still ran ads and had his surrogates and campaign leaders run his GOTV.

[NHI]

Question:

Do you all want a mini-two day schedule? Or would you like me to go straight to the Caucus results (perhaps dividing into two parts)?

[Senator Spiral]

I would like the two-day schedule. We've done that with all the other games as far as I remember and they can make a difference.

[NHI]

I would like the two-day schedule. We've done that with all the other games as far as I remember and they can make a difference.

That's what I thought...to be honest I couldn't quite remember what'd been done.

Thanks. ;-)

[NHI]

Hillary Clinton: Determination

Hillary Clinton was widely expected to win the Democratic Nomination four years ago. A strong and competent campaign was ultimately derailed by setbacks and missteps. Now four years hence she is taking nothing for granted! By keeping expectations to a minimum this time Clinton is working hard in Iowa and New Hampshire, hoping to sneak from behind and walk away with the win and be on the road to the nomination. It's a tall order, but Clinton is an unrelenting campaigner and after coming up short four years ago will give it her best not to let history repeat itself.

The Dean Factor

If asked who Howard Dean is, a person might respond with: who's that? Howard Dean entered the race as a dark horse candidate, but now is on the verge of winning the Iowa Caucuses. The Former Vermont Governor is feisty, passionate and energizing the Democratic Party base -- and may be the candidate Democrats are looking for this time around. Dean's strategy from the start has been: Iowa, Iowa, Iowa. A win there will propel him into national headlines and likely make him a strong competitor if not inevitable candidate for the nomination.

[NewYorkExpress]

Countdown to Iowa-Schedule for Hillary Clinton

December 27, 2007

GOTV in Denver, Iowa

GOTV in Readlyn, Iowa

GOTV in Tripoli, Iowa

GOTV in Hudson, Iowa

December 28, 2007

GOTV in Parkersburg, Iowa

GOTV in Dumont, Iowa

GOTV in Shell Rock, Iowa

GOTV in Rockford, Iowa

GOTV in Marble Rock, Iowa

December 29, 2007

GOTV in Charles City, Iowa

GOTV in Dunkerton, Iowa

GOTV in Traer, Iowa

GOTV in Elberon, Iowa

GOTV in Le Grand, Iowa

December 30, 2007

GOTV in Rhodes, Iowa

GOTV in Ferguson, Iowa

GOTV in Laurel, Iowa

GOTV in Newton, Iowa

December 31, 2007/New Year's Eve

Guest Judge Winter Iowa Sculpture Festival, The Izaak Walton League, Newton, Iowa


Attend New Year's Eve Ball Drop, Times Square, New York (With Christine Quinn)


January 1, 2008

GOTV in Sioux City, Iowa

GOTV at Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa

[Senator Spiral]

Mark Sanford Campaign Schedule: December 27-January 1

The Iowa Storm

The caucus is coming, ladies and gentlemen. My only question to you is: Are you ready? It's easy to be discouraged by a couple of polls, but what I see here on the ground shows a much different picture than what the pollsters are saying. Conservatives are motivated, and we're going to show President Giuliani and his cronies that you can't ignore us for much longer! We won't just exceed talking heads' expectations--we'll win this thing!

December 27
With Steve King, Bob Vander Plaats, Steve Forbes, and Newt Gingrich
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Grimes, IA
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Creston, IA
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Denison, IA
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Pella, IA
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Spencer, IA

December 28
With Steve King, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, and Joe Arpaio
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Boone, IA
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Storm Lake, IA
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Newton, IA
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Oskaloosa, IA
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Clive, IA

December 29
With Steve King, Bob Vander Plaats, Jack Kemp, and Dick Armey
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Fort Madison, IA
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Johnston, IA
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Muscatine, IA
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Mason City, IA
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Cedar Falls, IA

December 30
With Steve King, Bob Vander Plaats, Jack Kemp, and Newt Gingrich
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Bettendorf, IA
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Clinton, IA
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Ankeny, IA
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Cedar Falls, IA
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Dubuque, IA

December 31
With Steve King, Bob Vander Plaats, Fred Thompson, and Jim DeMint
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Marshalltown, IA
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Ames, IA
-Barnstorming/GOTV in West Des Moines, IA
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Burlington, IA
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Coralville, IA

January 1
With Steve King, Bob Vander Plaats, Joe Arpaio, and Joe Scarborough
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Le Mars, IA
-Barnstorming/GOTV in North Liberty, IA
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Indianola, IA
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Waukee, IA
-Barnstorming/GOTV in Ottumwa, IA


The following advertisements will air throughout the week, with heavy concentration on spending placed on Iowa:

TV/Radio Ad: Pork

Mark Sanford has been serious about cutting spending. As Governor, Sanford brought live pigs to the state legislature to show his opposition to pork barrel spending. Up in Washington, spending is never touched. President Giuliani has campaigned like a conservative, but when it's time to prove himself, he has only bloated government again and again. Mark Sanford will bring real conservative change with a record behind him as the most fiscally conservative governor This election, it's time to cut the pork. I'm Mark Sanford, and I approve this message.

TV/Radio Ad: Fiscal Responsibility

When he was in Congress, he was rated the most fiscally conservative member. Now he's the most fiscally conservative governor in the nation. That man is Mark Sanford, and he's running to clean up Washington. [displays picture of Rudy Giuliani and contrast with Sanford] Why vote for people who don't mean what they say? President Sanford will stop reckless government spending, slash the debt, and put the country back on a good path for our children and grandchildren. This primary season, know that you have a choice for fiscal responsibility. Vote Mark Sanford. I'm Mark Sanford, and I approve this message.

Surrogate Schedules

Jim: DeMint: Barnstorming/GOTV in Iowa
Joe Arpaio: Barnstorming/GOTV in Iowa
Steve King: Barnstorming/GOTV in Iowa
Ron Paul: Barnstorming/GOTV in Iowa
Newt Gingrich: Barnstorming/GOTV in Iowa
Bob Vander Plaats: Barnstorming/GOTV in Iowa
Steve Forbes: Barnstorming/GOTV in Iowa
Jack Kemp: Barnstorming/GOTV in Iowa
Fred Thompson: Barnstorming/GOTV in Iowa
Dick Armey: Barnstorming/GOTV in Iowa
Sarah Palin: Barnstorming/GOTV in Iowa
Joe Scarborough: Barnstorming/GOTV in Iowa

Club for Growth: Ad buys in early primaries
Americans for Prosperity: Ad buys in early primaries
National Taxpayer Union: Ad buys in early primaries
Americans for Tax Reform: Ad buys in early primaries
National Right to Life Committee: Ad buys in early primaries

[badgate]

POSTS ARE COMING. Early voting begins tomorrow so I've been kind of busy...

[badgate]

Lincoln Campaign Schedule
Dec. 27 - Jan. 1

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Today in Des Moines, Senator Lincoln joined volunteer leaders from across the state for a state-wide summit focused on the campaign's grassroots strategy to win Iowa and outperform any other campaign's caucusing efforts.

December 27
-6:00am - Flying to Iowa
-10:45am - Speaking at Volunteer Leadership Summit in Des Moines
-1:30pm - Meet & Greet in Indianola
-4:00pm - Rally in Knoxville
-6:45pm - Town Hall in Pella

December 28
-10:00am - Meet & Greet in Oskaloosa
-11:45am - Meet & Greet in Albia
-2:30pm - Town Hall in Ottumwa
-5:00pm - Meet & Greet in Fairfield
-7:30pm - Meet & Greet in Mount Pleasant

December 29
-9:45am - Meet & Greet in New London
-12:00pm - Rally in Burlington
-2:00pm - Barnstorming in Wever
-4:00pm - Meet & Greet in Fort Madison
-5:30pm - Meet & Greet in Montrose
-7:00pm - Rally in Keokuk

December 30
-10:00am - Meet & Greet in Bloomfield
-11:45am - Barnstorm in Centerville
-1:45pm - Barnstorm in Corydon
-3:30pm - Meet & Greet in Leon
-5:00pm - Meet & Greet in Lamoni
-7:00pm - Meet & Greet in Mt. Ayr

December 31
- Meet & Greet in Bedford
- Barnstorm in Clarinda
- Barnstorm in Clarinda
- Meet & Greet in Hamburg
- Meet & Greet in Sidney

January 1
-Rally in Davenport
-Rally in Iowa City
-Rally in Cedar Rapids
-Rally in Des Moines
-Barnstorming in West Des Moines