NV SEN: Will Harry Reid run for re-election?

[Suburbia]

A good article on whether Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid will run for re-election in 2016. Some say he may retire because he's getting "old and tired".

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/08/will-harry-reid-run-110400.html?ml=m_t1_2h#.U_-zXvmwKos

[Vega]

Yeah, and he probably will win.

I don't think he should run, though.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

If the dems dont do badly, and a bare majority is still in place, he will likely stay on due to our likelyhood of keeping our majoruty status with a Hilary running.

[Alreet]

Reid is more unpopular than McConnell in a swing state much more competitive than Kentucky and will most likely face a moderate Hispanic and popular Republican already elected once to statewide office against a Reid. He'll run again and get butchered.

Almost forgot, he's also managed to piss off the biggest names in Republican financing.

[SWE]

Yes, and he'd probably win.

[RogueBeaver]

Yes, and he'd win against anyone but Sandoval.

[Flake]

Yes, and he'd win against anyone but Sandoval.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

He's lucky 2016 is a presidential year, so it'll be Clark County vs. rest of state.

[Never]

Yes, and he'd win against anyone but Sandoval.

[KCDem]

If he runs, he will win. Even against Sandoval, who won't run.

[TDAS04]

Option 1 is the best guess. 

[Vega]

If he runs, he will win. Even against Sandoval, who won't run.

How can you say that for sure? Barring Sandoval screwing up the first half of his second term, I think he'd do well against Reid in 2016. 

[KCDem]

If he runs, he will win. Even against Sandoval, who won't run.

How can you say that for sure? Barring Sandoval screwing up the first half of his second term, I think he'd do well against Reid in 2016. 

Sandoval is not likely to run. Jon Ralston, the guru of NV politics, is fairly convinced that Sandoval is more interested in a federal judgeship than a senate run. I am inclined to believe Ralston given his track record. Anyway, even if Sandoval does run, I would think the race would be a tossup at worst for Reid. Reid has all the connections needed in Nevada and has a tacit detente pact with Adelson. I would expect the race to come down to turnout and the Reid machine usually prevails.

[Vega]

If he runs, he will win. Even against Sandoval, who won't run.

How can you say that for sure? Barring Sandoval screwing up the first half of his second term, I think he'd do well against Reid in 2016. 

Sandoval is not likely to run. Jon Ralston, the guru of NV politics, is fairly convinced that Sandoval is more interested in a federal judgeship than a senate run. I am inclined to believe Ralston given his track record. Anyway, even if Sandoval does run, I would think the race would be a tossup at worst for Reid. Reid has all the connections needed in Nevada and has a tacit detente pact with Adelson. I would expect the race to come down to turnout and the Reid machine usually prevails.

I have a hard time believing that Sandoval would want to be a Judge rather than a Senator.

[KCDem]

If he runs, he will win. Even against Sandoval, who won't run.

How can you say that for sure? Barring Sandoval screwing up the first half of his second term, I think he'd do well against Reid in 2016. 

Sandoval is not likely to run. Jon Ralston, the guru of NV politics, is fairly convinced that Sandoval is more interested in a federal judgeship than a senate run. I am inclined to believe Ralston given his track record. Anyway, even if Sandoval does run, I would think the race would be a tossup at worst for Reid. Reid has all the connections needed in Nevada and has a tacit detente pact with Adelson. I would expect the race to come down to turnout and the Reid machine usually prevails.

I have a hard time believing that Sandoval would want to be a Judge rather than a Senator.

Not everyone gets a hard-on from working in DC. Some people hate it, myself included.