Kasich/Martinez vs O'malley/Booker
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  Kasich/Martinez vs O'malley/Booker
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Author Topic: Kasich/Martinez vs O'malley/Booker  (Read 1431 times)
Matty
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« on: August 05, 2014, 03:57:08 AM »

What would the map probably look like?
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Matty
boshembechle
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« Reply #1 on: August 07, 2014, 12:10:41 AM »

anyone?
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NHLiberal
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« Reply #2 on: August 07, 2014, 08:46:25 AM »

When I started making the map I thought it would be a Republican victory but it ended up being a narrow Democratic EC victory. I think the Republican ticket would probably win the PV by a point or two though:

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Mister Mets
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« Reply #3 on: August 10, 2014, 10:03:30 PM »

Under generic circumstances, Kasich would probably be a stronger candidate than O'Malley (Swing State Governor with congressional experience/ television background VS Mayor/ Governor from safe Democratic state.)

Booker would help O'Malley with young progressives and African Americans.
Martinez adds diversity and can be a strong surrogate in the West.

The default map would probably favor Kasich.



Kasich/ Martinez- 292 Electoral Votes
O'Malley/ Booker- 246 Electoral Votes

If it's a strong environment for Republicans, Kasich could also carry New Mexico, Virginia and softer Midwestern states.

If it's a strong environment for Democrats, O'Malley might keep Colorado, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Iowa from swinging to Republicans.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #4 on: August 15, 2014, 12:08:04 AM »

It'd probably look like 1988, O'Malley would need someone like Jay Nixon on the ticket to really stay strong
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Flake
Flo
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« Reply #5 on: August 16, 2014, 12:08:20 AM »

Vermont
O'Malley 45.63%
Kasich 45.70%
Other 8.47%

I think it's a pretty established fact that a national republican will not win Vermont for a very long time.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #6 on: August 16, 2014, 02:15:35 AM »

Vermont
O'Malley 45.63%
Kasich 45.70%
Other 8.47%

I think it's a pretty established fact that a national republican will not win Vermont for a very long time.

Or Maine AL. Or Washington.
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