IL-Rasmussen: Rauner (R) up 5
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  IL-Rasmussen: Rauner (R) up 5
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Author Topic: IL-Rasmussen: Rauner (R) up 5  (Read 1080 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: August 01, 2014, 09:38:43 AM »

Illinois Governor: Rauner (R) 44%, Quinn (D) 39%

7% like some other candidate in the race, and 10% are undecided.

The survey of 750 Likely Voters in Illinois was conducted on July 29-30, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.

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Flake
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« Reply #1 on: August 01, 2014, 12:31:46 PM »

New Poll: Illinois Governor by Rasmussen on 2014-07-30

Summary: D: 39%, R: 44%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: August 01, 2014, 01:58:02 PM »

This race definitely leans Rauner at this point, but Quinn had an even bigger deficit in the summer of 2010. This should be interesting.
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muon2
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« Reply #3 on: August 01, 2014, 02:04:47 PM »

7% is a large percentage to vote for someone else. None of the four other candidates are going to be spending money to get their names out there. That assumes that any of them survive the ballot challenges they currently face.

Did Rassy poll the other names or just provide a someone else choice? I would guess the latter which puts the meaning of those responses in some doubt.
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Senator & LGC Deputy Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #4 on: August 01, 2014, 04:08:59 PM »

7% is a large percentage to vote for someone else. None of the four other candidates are going to be spending money to get their names out there. That assumes that any of them survive the ballot challenges they currently face.

Did Rassy poll the other names or just provide a someone else choice? I would guess the latter which puts the meaning of those responses in some doubt.
The latter
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sg0508
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« Reply #5 on: August 02, 2014, 02:03:54 PM »

IL usually has a huge "coming home" effect for the Democrats in the end.  Unless the GOP challenger is right at or near 50% within the last week, the Democrats usually get a huge bump, which often is enough to win. It happened in '10 and it almost cost Mark Kirk as well that year, as well as Pete Fitzgerald against Moseley-Braun back in '98.
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