KY: Bluegrass Poll: McConnell leading by 2

[Keystone Phil]

Team Mitch has weathered tough elections basically every time since he first won (except for like one year). It's a midterm year during an unpopular President's sixth year. The GOP has a chance at winning the Senate. The national climate favors the incumbent's party. It's Kentucky.

Mitch isn't going to lose. It won't even be particularly close in the end.

[Keystone Phil]

Team Mitch has weathered tough elections basically every time since he first won (except for like one year). It's a midterm year during an unpopular President's sixth year. The GOP has a chance at winning the Senate. The national climate favors the incumbent's party. It's Kentucky.

Mitch isn't going to lose. It won't even be particularly close in the end.

It does?

Didn't the Dems lead in that almost totally meaningless generic ballot for most of 2010 and 1994?

[Keystone Phil]

This is what Phil's two cents are worth. Lol.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=131443.0

LOL MUST ALWAYS BE WRONG THEN HAHA!

Aside from a few infamous predictions (and what you referenced wasn't even a prediction), I'm actually pretty accurate with my predictions. The vast moronic conspiracy against me seeks to drown out the truth though and sadly, it has been pretty successful around these parts. This is what you resort to when you can't refute my actual points.

[Keystone Phil]

Team Mitch has weathered tough elections basically every time since he first won (except for like one year). It's a midterm year during an unpopular President's sixth year. The GOP has a chance at winning the Senate. The national climate favors the incumbent's party. It's Kentucky.

Mitch isn't going to lose. It won't even be particularly close in the end.

It does?

Didn't the Dems lead in that almost totally meaningless generic ballot for most of 2010 and 1994?

Around this point in 2010, Republicans lead by 3-6 points.

And '94?

[Keystone Phil]

Team Mitch has weathered tough elections basically every time since he first won (except for like one year). It's a midterm year during an unpopular President's sixth year. The GOP has a chance at winning the Senate. The national climate favors the incumbent's party. It's Kentucky.

Mitch isn't going to lose. It won't even be particularly close in the end.

It does?

Didn't the Dems lead in that almost totally meaningless generic ballot for most of 2010 and 1994?

Around this point in 2010, Republicans lead by 3-6 points.

And '94?

Beats me, but it was relatively accurate in 2008, 2010, and 2012. That seems more relevant than an election from 2 decades ago from before poll aggregation became a thing.

And still ultimately meaningless. Guarantee Presidential approval is more indicative of the national mood than generic ballot.

[Keystone Phil]

Team Mitch has weathered tough elections basically every time since he first won (except for like one year). It's a midterm year during an unpopular President's sixth year. The GOP has a chance at winning the Senate. The national climate favors the incumbent's party. It's Kentucky.

Mitch isn't going to lose. It won't even be particularly close in the end.

I'm not sure how you can believe it won't be close. Look at the numbers. I could see Grimes losing by 6 if it gets out of hand for her, but honestly this has been neck and neck and will continue to be so. The only reason Rand Paul got a relatively health double digit margin against a statewide officer is because Conway fumbled the ball so poorly.

All of the reason I stated above are reason enough to believe it won't be all that close. If Grimes can't end the Summer in the lead then I think everyone should really doubt it will close.

[Keystone Phil]

This is what Phil's two cents are worth. Lol.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=131443.0

LOL MUST ALWAYS BE WRONG THEN HAHA!

Aside from a few infamous predictions (and what you referenced wasn't even a prediction), I'm actually pretty accurate with my predictions. The vast moronic conspiracy against me seeks to drown out the truth though and sadly, it has been pretty successful around these parts. This is what you resort to when you can't refute my actual points.

You didn't make a valid point to refute. McConnell leading by only 2 in an R+13 state that has a lot of Democratic office holders statewide does not suggest he will win big, let alone win at all.

Right, the factors I mentioned just aren't proof of how a race can ultimately break quite clearly one way...

[Keystone Phil]

This is what Phil's two cents are worth. Lol.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=131443.0

LOL MUST ALWAYS BE WRONG THEN HAHA!

Aside from a few infamous predictions (and what you referenced wasn't even a prediction), I'm actually pretty accurate with my predictions. The vast moronic conspiracy against me seeks to drown out the truth though and sadly, it has been pretty successful around these parts. This is what you resort to when you can't refute my actual points.

Sarkozy will be reelected.

And he will be. I never specified the year. Next...

[Keystone Phil]

This is what Phil's two cents are worth. Lol.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=131443.0

LOL MUST ALWAYS BE WRONG THEN HAHA!

Aside from a few infamous predictions (and what you referenced wasn't even a prediction), I'm actually pretty accurate with my predictions. The vast moronic conspiracy against me seeks to drown out the truth though and sadly, it has been pretty successful around these parts. This is what you resort to when you can't refute my actual points.

Sarkozy will be reelected.

And he will be. I never specified the year. Next...

Ummm....

You know he was arrested, don't you?

No, I don't watch French Law and Order.