GA: Rasmussen: Perdue (R) enters general election up 6
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  GA: Rasmussen: Perdue (R) enters general election up 6
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Author Topic: GA: Rasmussen: Perdue (R) enters general election up 6  (Read 1930 times)
Miles
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« on: July 25, 2014, 11:18:30 AM »
« edited: July 25, 2014, 03:36:21 PM by Miles »

Link.

Perdue (R)- 46%
Nunn (D)- 40%
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
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« Reply #1 on: July 25, 2014, 11:22:33 AM »

That's way too big a bump to just come from him winning the primary.
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moderatevoter
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« Reply #2 on: July 25, 2014, 11:24:44 AM »

I'm certain Perdue will win, but nevertheless...

>Rasmussen
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #3 on: July 25, 2014, 11:34:43 AM »

The polls in this race are bouncing around like sh*t.

I only trust SurveyUSA in GA.
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Miles
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« Reply #4 on: July 25, 2014, 12:03:46 PM »

Rassy always had big primary bounces. Perdue might well be up, but only by a few points, IMO.
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Dixie Reborn
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« Reply #5 on: July 25, 2014, 12:27:29 PM »

I'm certain Perdue will win, but nevertheless...

>Rasmussen
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #6 on: July 25, 2014, 06:47:20 PM »

Rassy has blacks at 25% in this poll. It was 28% in 2010 and 30% in 2008/2012...
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: July 25, 2014, 07:00:47 PM »

I think Rassy poll missed its mark. Nunn, I do believe is even or slightly ahead, despite what Rassy says.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #8 on: July 25, 2014, 07:33:55 PM »

Rassy has blacks at 25% in this poll. It was 28% in 2010 and 30% in 2008/2012...
Only 25%? Looks like Rass may have a slight R bias here...

While Black support probably drops modestly for Nunn when compared to Obama, the percentage of the electorate is probably more likely to be 27-29 than 25.
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Miles
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« Reply #9 on: July 25, 2014, 07:44:31 PM »

^ Cohn says the composition of the electorate will likely be similar to 2008.

30% is possible.
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GaussLaw
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« Reply #10 on: July 25, 2014, 07:53:41 PM »

^ Cohn says the composition of the electorate will likely be similar to 2008.

30% is possible.

2012 seems a bit more likely to me.


Regardless, this is decent news for Perdue given that he just needs to keep Nunn under 50.
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Never
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« Reply #11 on: July 25, 2014, 08:50:56 PM »

^ Cohn says the composition of the electorate will likely be similar to 2008.

30% is possible.

2012 seems a bit more likely to me.


Regardless, this is decent news for Perdue given that he just needs to keep Nunn under 50.

I agree that lower black turnout than 2008 is more likely. 30% is definitely possible, but it's worth noting that Chambliss still beat back Martin in November '08 by three points with that number, and if a runoff happens this election, turnout will surely nosedive, largely to the benefit of Perdue.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #12 on: July 26, 2014, 12:06:34 PM »

^ Cohn says the composition of the electorate will likely be similar to 2008.

30% is possible.

2012 seems a bit more likely to me.

Regardless, this is decent news for Perdue given that he just needs to keep Nunn under 50.

It was 30% in both 2008 and 2012.

I agree that lower black turnout than 2008 is more likely. 30% is definitely possible, but it's worth noting that Chambliss still beat back Martin in November '08 by three points with that number, and if a runoff happens this election, turnout will surely nosedive, largely to the benefit of Perdue.

Just keep in mind that "low" black turnout (using 2010 as the reference point) is 28%. Also, there will be a greater number of non-whites who aren't black who vote in this election than in 2008.
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« Reply #13 on: July 29, 2014, 02:14:45 PM »

New Poll: Georgia Senator by Rasmussen on 2014-07-24

Summary: D: 40%, R: 46%, I: 4%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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