MI-Denno Research - Peters leading by 2
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Author Topic: MI-Denno Research - Peters leading by 2  (Read 810 times)
free my dawg
SawxDem
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« on: July 15, 2014, 06:04:32 PM »
« edited: July 15, 2014, 06:10:06 PM by Sawx »

http://www.detroitnews.com/article/20140715/POLITICS02/307150081

Peters 39.5, Land 37.2

Considering that even the local Michigan firms have Peters up now, it's looking to be over.
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dmmidmi
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« Reply #1 on: July 16, 2014, 08:02:15 AM »

http://www.detroitnews.com/article/20140715/POLITICS02/307150081

Peters 39.5, Land 37.2

Considering that even the local Michigan firms have Peters up now, it's looking to be over.

There's still plenty of times for things to go wrong. But if you view this race as a tossup, or even as one of this year's ten most competitive races, you're completely divorced from reality.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #2 on: July 16, 2014, 04:41:42 PM »

http://www.detroitnews.com/article/20140715/POLITICS02/307150081

Peters 39.5, Land 37.2

Considering that even the local Michigan firms have Peters up now, it's looking to be over.

There's still plenty of times for things to go wrong. But if you view this race as a tossup, or even as one of this year's ten most competitive races, you're completely divorced from reality.
I haven't seen a single poll that had this race outside of single digits for either candidates.  While Michigan's history of electing Dem senators will be hard to overcome, the right circumstances could help put Land over the top.  The fact that it's even this close is evidence of that.
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free my dawg
SawxDem
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« Reply #3 on: July 16, 2014, 05:25:39 PM »

http://www.detroitnews.com/article/20140715/POLITICS02/307150081

Peters 39.5, Land 37.2

Considering that even the local Michigan firms have Peters up now, it's looking to be over.

There's still plenty of times for things to go wrong. But if you view this race as a tossup, or even as one of this year's ten most competitive races, you're completely divorced from reality.
I haven't seen a single poll that had this race outside of single digits for either candidates.  While Michigan's history of electing Dem senators will be hard to overcome, the right circumstances could help put Land over the top.  The fact that it's even this close is evidence of that.

Oh, of course. Denno Research is a flawed pollster, though, so it's probably closer to what Marist says (about a 4-6% victory). There's still time for Land to get in, though I doubt it, considering she's trying to dance around questions about women's rights (which worked horribly for Scott Brown), and now that the Supreme Court has mobilized the base, I think Michigan leans the strongest to the left out of all the competitive states.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: July 16, 2014, 08:44:14 PM »

The correct poll had Synder up 2 not by 8 pts.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #5 on: July 17, 2014, 08:43:50 AM »

The correct poll had Synder up 2 not by 8 pts.
How is that a "correct" poll, other than the fact that it's more favorable to your side?  Nearly every poll of likely voters has had Snyder with a comfortable lead.
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dmmidmi
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« Reply #6 on: July 17, 2014, 12:58:09 PM »

http://www.detroitnews.com/article/20140715/POLITICS02/307150081

Peters 39.5, Land 37.2

Considering that even the local Michigan firms have Peters up now, it's looking to be over.

There's still plenty of times for things to go wrong. But if you view this race as a tossup, or even as one of this year's ten most competitive races, you're completely divorced from reality.
I haven't seen a single poll that had this race outside of single digits for either candidates.  While Michigan's history of electing Dem senators will be hard to overcome, the right circumstances could help put Land over the top.  The fact that it's even this close is evidence of that.

Things would have to go Wrong for Peters, and it would need to happen soon. His lead has been increasing over the past few months.

Even if his lead in polls has been small, it has been stable. It'll be really hard for TLL to get that last 5% that would lead her to victory.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #7 on: July 18, 2014, 07:15:04 AM »

Something's wrong here.  They have Peters by 2; EPIC-MRA has it Peters by 9.
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