MI-PPP: Tie Game

[dmmidmi]

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_MI_701.pdf

Tied at 40

People still don't know who Mark Schauer is.

[windjammer]

I'm a bit surprised.

I know that the MI pollsters are so terrible. But why Snyder is now more unpopular?

[dmmidmi]

Probably the amount of negative advertising. I haven't seen a whole lot of pro-Snyder ads recently--except for the one with the lady who makes flatbreads.

Which is surprising, because Snyder has the money to spend, and as we saw the last time around, he was pretty good at marketing himself.

[Gass3268]

Excellent News!

[pbrower2a]

Having met Mark Schauer -- the better that one gets to know him, the better one likes him.

Michigan usually breaks strongly D around September as Big Labor has its GOTV drive. 

[NHLiberal]

This looks REALLY good for Schauer. His name recognition is atrocious yet he ties Snyder, and Snyder's approval rating is absolute garbage. And Snyder's "right to work" law is unpopular. It's Michigan, so undecideds will break Democrat, and like pbrower said, GOTV from big labor as well as a general increase in Schauer's name recognition (and as a result, popularity) will get Schauer over the line.

Also, I don't think Democrats are going to take over either chamber of the state legislature, but 48-34 is a much bigger generic ballot lead than I would have expected.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

No, it's not.  This is a poll of registered voters, and most polls of likely voters have Snyder with a comfortable lead.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The same poll has Peters ahead by 4-5 pts. And Synder in the last couple of polls was up by same margin. FL and MI are gonna be decided by 4 pts or less.

[free my dawg]

No, it's not.  This is a poll of registered voters, and most polls of likely voters have Snyder with a comfortable lead.

The only recent firm with LVs that polled here also happens to be a Republican polling firm.

Sorry, but the momentum's in my side's direction now.

[Joe Republic]

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So... 49% of voters who have an opinion of Schauer have no opinion of Schauer?

[Mr. Illini]

Dominating!

[Bojack Horseman]

You know, back in 2012, I had actually thought about voting for Snyder, but I won't now because of three little words: Right To Work.

[Lief 🗽]

No, it's not.  This is a poll of registered voters, and most polls of likely voters have Snyder with a comfortable lead.

Likely voter polls before September are no more accurate than registered voter polls.