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  Magellan (R)/National Mining Association: 8 Senate polls		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Magellan (R)/National Mining Association: 8 Senate polls  (Read 3527 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: June 12, 2014, 11:19:25 AM »
« edited: June 13, 2014, 03:11:48 AM by Tender Branson »
KY: 49-46 Grimes
CO: 47-45 Gardner
AR: 49-45 Cotton
LA: 50-44 Cassidy
NC: 47-46 Hagan
GA: 47-44 GOP candidate
MT: 55-39 Daines
MI: 50-41 Peters
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: June 12, 2014, 11:20:43 AM »
They polled 7 other states too, but I can't find the releases for those ... Sad

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http://www.magellanstrategies.com
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #2 on: June 12, 2014, 11:20:51 AM »
Huh?
A Republican internal shows McConnell losing? Is he really that screwed or is there a catch?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #3 on: June 12, 2014, 11:21:37 AM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on June 12, 2014, 11:20:51 AM
Huh?
A Republican internal shows McConnell losing? Is he really that screwed or is there a catch?

The party registration in this poll is 56% D, 40% R and only 4% I - which is weird.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #4 on: June 12, 2014, 11:26:02 AM »
Apparently, their CO poll will show:

Cory Gardner (R): 47%
Mark Udall (D): 45%

https://twitter.com/LoganDobson/statuses/477091955185573888
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #5 on: June 12, 2014, 11:26:17 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on June 12, 2014, 11:21:37 AM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on June 12, 2014, 11:20:51 AM
Huh?
A Republican internal shows McConnell losing? Is he really that screwed or is there a catch?

The party registration in this poll is 56% D, 40% R and only 4% I - which is weird.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_KY_103.pdf

Not completely Tender, PPP: 52% democrat, 40% Rep, and 9% Ind

I obviously believe this poll is weird though.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #6 on: June 12, 2014, 11:31:21 AM »
Now the results are on their page !
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #7 on: June 12, 2014, 11:33:39 AM »
But no Senate results.
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badgate
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« Reply #8 on: June 12, 2014, 02:52:40 PM »
Wonderful news!
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #9 on: June 12, 2014, 02:54:33 PM »
I remember seeing a poll back last year that said the candidates were roughly even, but Grimes led by 15 among folks who were more familiar with the campaign. Maybe McConnell is floundering just because people are finding out more.
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Miles
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« Reply #10 on: June 12, 2014, 04:57:45 PM »
Release.

Cotton (R)- 49%
Pryor (D)- 45%
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ModerateVAVoter
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« Reply #11 on: June 12, 2014, 04:58:14 PM »
The lack of recent non-partisan polls in this race is kind of annoying.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #12 on: June 12, 2014, 05:20:07 PM »
Quote from: ModerateVAVoter on June 12, 2014, 04:58:14 PM
The lack of recent non-partisan polls in this race is kind of annoying.

Well, Magellan seems to overestimate EVERY challenger to the incumbent (see Colorado and Kentucky).
This is like Magellan wanted all senators to lose reelection Tongue.
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Flake
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« Reply #13 on: June 12, 2014, 06:21:29 PM »
New Poll: Kentucky Senator by Magellan Strategies on 2014-06-05

Summary: D: 49%, R: 46%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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SWE
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« Reply #14 on: June 12, 2014, 07:46:20 PM »
LIKELY R!!!!!!1!!!!
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LeBron FitzGerald
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« Reply #15 on: June 12, 2014, 08:22:33 PM »
Given Magellan's polling overestimated the size of the Blanching in AR-Sen's 2010 race by about 10 points, this is still a pure tossup very much. Pryor already labeled this as a junk, push poll anyways since it was conducted for the same group who spent money on 2 of the Cotton - military ads, but luckily for Cotton, he got a much needed Romney endorsement and as we've seen recently with establishment and Tea Party backed candidates like Tillis, they don't mess around and can be serious threats.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #16 on: June 12, 2014, 08:46:19 PM »
I'm with MAAV. Really need PPP or Talk Business. It's probably still MOE lead for either one.
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Miles
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« Reply #17 on: June 12, 2014, 11:07:30 PM »
« Edited: June 12, 2014, 11:11:54 PM by Miles »
Release.

Cassidy (R)- 50%
Landrieu (D)- 44%
Someone else- 5%

I don't have the release for NC yet, but the Hayride says Hagan leads 47-46.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #18 on: June 13, 2014, 03:09:11 AM »
So, here are the results of all 8 states:

KY: 49-46 Grimes
CO: 47-45 Gardner
AR: 49-45 Cotton
LA: 50-44 Cassidy
NC: 47-46 Hagan
GA: 47-44 GOP candidate
MT: 55-39 Daines
MI: 50-41 Peters
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Cosmopolitanism Will Win
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« Reply #19 on: June 14, 2014, 05:33:43 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on June 13, 2014, 03:09:11 AM
So, here are the results of all 8 states:

KY: 49-46 Grimes
CO: 47-45 Gardner
AR: 49-45 Cotton
LA: 50-44 Cassidy
NC: 47-46 Hagan
GA: 47-44 GOP candidate
MT: 55-39 Daines
MI: 50-41 Peters

That's prettty weird...
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #20 on: June 14, 2014, 06:54:52 AM »
Quote from: Antonio V on June 14, 2014, 05:33:43 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on June 13, 2014, 03:09:11 AM
So, here are the results of all 8 states:

KY: 49-46 Grimes
CO: 47-45 Gardner
AR: 49-45 Cotton
LA: 50-44 Cassidy
NC: 47-46 Hagan
GA: 47-44 GOP candidate
MT: 55-39 Daines
MI: 50-41 Peters

That's prettty weird...

Hard to trust any Republican internal after what happened the last 2-3 years.
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JRP1994
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« Reply #21 on: June 16, 2014, 10:35:00 AM »
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2014/Magellan_MI_0614.pdf

Peters: 50%
Land: 41%
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ModerateVAVoter
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« Reply #22 on: June 16, 2014, 10:37:30 AM »
LANDslide.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #23 on: June 16, 2014, 11:15:00 AM »
It isn't over because it never started. Peters will win comfortably, but I doubt any other Pub candidate would do much better.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #24 on: June 16, 2014, 11:53:30 AM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on June 16, 2014, 11:15:00 AM
It isn't over because it never started. Peters will win comfortably, but I doubt any other Pub candidate would do much better.

I've always found Michigan interesting in that they are almost never a swing state on the federal level, but when it comes to statewide officials it is almost always competitive. 
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