Imagine a jungle primary in your state between the previous five posters...

[Del Tachi]

Post a county-by-county prediction of a jungle primary election in your state between the previous five posters.  Include the run-off when applicable.

Y'all ready?

Go!

[ElectionsGuy]

Post a county-by-county prediction of a jungle primary election in your state between the previous five posters.  Include the run-off when applicable.

Y'all ready?

Go!

How do you this?

I'm in.

[Enderman]

In!

[Del Tachi]

Post a county-by-county prediction of a jungle primary election in your state between the previous five posters.  Include the run-off when applicable.

Y'all ready?

Go!

How do you this?

I'm in.

Obtain a blank county map of your state (you can get one from the Atlas) and then color it in. 

SKIP

[ElectionsGuy]

Post a county-by-county prediction of a jungle primary election in your state between the previous five posters.  Include the run-off when applicable.

Y'all ready?

Go!

How do you this?

I'm in.

Obtain a blank county map of your state (you can get one from the Atlas) and then color it in. 

SKIP

Is it "Request Access for Document Uploads" in my profile under where it say Atlas?

SKIP

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

I'm in. This could be fun.

[tmthforu94]

I'll be the fifth

[JerryArkansas]

Blue: Del Thaci
Green: Issac
Red Nathan
Yellow:  Election guy
Jack would not win counties, but come in close second in some counties.

[Flake]

/whenyoumakeamapattheairportandtheysayheyitstimetoboardandyougoandpostthemapbutsomebodyalreadypostedthemap

[Del Tachi]

State Senator Nathan of Holmes County; 37.3%
Secretary of State JerryArkansas of Rankin County; 34.2%
Chancey Clerk Tmthforu94 of DeSoto County; 18.5%
Talk Radio Show Host ElectionsGuy of Harrison County; 7.1%
Political Activist Flo of Hinds County; 2.9%

With State Senator Nathan being the only reputable left-of-center candidate on the ballot, Mississippi's 2015 gubernatorial jungle primary is a contest between Secretary of State JerryArkansas and DeSoto County chancery clerk Tmthforu94.  While the two candidates are close ideologically, they have distinct voter bases.  JerryArkansas draws most of his support from Mississippi's Republican establishment, an establishment which is still high off of Senator Thad Cochran's victory over Chris McDaniel last year.  Meanwhile, Tmthforu94 of DeSoto County runs in order to provide a "conservative alternative" to the regular pace of Jackson politics.  Steering clear of the Tea Party label despite running an outsider's campaign, Tmthforu builds up his support in DeSoto County and the Gulf Coast - two areas with large populations that are historically less-connected to Mississippi's political establishment.  However, the presence of conservative/libertarian talk show host ElectionsGuy from Biloxi is able to steal away some of Tmthforu's coastal support; this causes JerryArkansas to win a plurality of the vote along the Mississippi Gulf Coast.  Running a novelty campaign is political activist Flo of Jackson who has made a career of supporting causes affecting the urban poor.  On election day, Nathan comes in first due to Democrats not having their votes split and JerryArkansas is able to win handidly over Tmthforu.

RUNOFF

Secretary of State JerryArkansas; 58.6%
State Senator Nathan; 41.4%   

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Sorry for the lack of a map .

2012 Florida Senate Election
Congressman Nathan (D-FL-11): 27.20%
Agriculture Commissioner Tmth (R): 25.96%
Congressman Del Tachi (R-FL-18): 21.56%
State Senator Jerry: 16.87% (D)
Activist Elections Guy: 8.41% (R)

Runoff
Agriculture Commissioner Tmth (R): 51.12%
Congressman Nathan (D-FL-11): 48.88%

[Del Tachi]

Sorry for the lack of a map .

2012 Florida Senate Election
Congressman Nathan (D-FL-11): 25.20%
Agriculture Commissioner Tmth (R): 24.96%
Congressman Del Tachi (R-FL-18): 21.56%
State Senator Flo: 16.87% (D)
State Representative Jerry: 11.41% (R)

Runoff
Agriculture Commissioner Tmth (R): 51.12%
Congressman Nathan (D-FL-11): 48.88%

MAP!  MAP!  MAP!

SKIP

[Flake]

You shouldn't have put me in. I'm sorry EG

-skip-

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

You shouldn't have put me in. I'm sorry EG

-skip-

Sorry about that, I'll redo my post.

-skip-

[BaconBacon96]

*walks in*

Hello!

-skip-

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

Nathan   32%
Jerry   21%
Tmth  18%
Del Tachi  15%
Sanchez 14%


run-off


Nathan 37%
Jerry 63%

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Flo 31%
BaconBacon 27%
DelTachi 22%
shua 15%
Sanchez 5%



(placeholder because I do intend to do an actual writeup for this)

[Antonio the Sixth]

After a first term marred by failures of all sorts, François Hollande is so unpopular that he decides not to seek a second term. The PS attempts to renew itself by nominating Nathan, a backbencher who had been heavily critical to austerity policies. Despite his attempts to appeal to the disenchanted leftist values, Nathan has to face a strong challenge from PS' former allies, the Left Party and the Greens, who for the first time ever decide to nominate a common candidate. They nominate green activist Flo, who runs a strong campaign promising a "true alternative". Meanwhile, on the right, internal strifes lead the UMP to gridlock as Sarkozy, Copé and Fillon fight for its control. Unable to prevail on their own, Copé and Sarkozy band together to nominate Del Tachi, a Hauts-de-Seine politician who had won the presidency of the IdF region in 2016. For similar reasons, the leaders of the always scattered French centre nominate Shua, a parliamentarian from Mayenne. Meanwhile, FN leader Marine LePen's sudden death a few months before the election (she was hit by a bus while jaywalking) leaves the party in dismay, and forces it to nominate a largely unknown leader, Chairman Sanchez.



Shua (UDI/MoDem): 24.8%
Flo (EELV/FG): 20.9%
Nathan (PS): 20.6%
Del Tachi (UMP): 17.9%
Sanchez (FN): 15.8%

Running a strong campaign focusing on his moderation and willingness to work with all good-willing parties, Shua manages to come ahead with nearly a quarter of the vote. He manages to win strong support the old centre-right moderate electorate in the West, and to come second or third almost everywhere else. In an upset, Flo manages to qualify for the runoff, beating Nathan by a mere 100K votes. Although Nathan performed decently in the old rural and industrial PS strongholds, Flo won heavily in most large cities and received support from both green and communist areas. After having been portrayed throughout the campaign as an out of touch wealthy baron, Del Tachi performed poorly, winning only the core areas of the French right. Finally, Sanchez upsets his traditionally populist electorate by advocating radical laisser-faire economic policies, and ends up last.

In the runoff, Shua easily defeats Flo with 55%.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Del Tachi - 32.4%
Nathan - 28.9%
Antonio V - 17.8%
Shua - 14.3%
Sanchez - 6.6%

Don't know how to make the maps

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

Del Tachi - 32.4%
Nathan - 28.9%
Antonio V - 17.8%
Shua - 14.3%
Sanchez - 6.6%

Don't know how to make the maps

+

http://www.sumopaint.com/app/

*skip*

[Maxwell]

Louisiana Senate Jungle Primary

Congressman Christian Sanchez (R) - 35.6%
Businessman Jason Shua (R) - 21.6%
State Senator Malcolm Xanders (D) - 20.3%
Pastor Nathan Hemler (D) - 14.6%
Activist Antonio Vonanda (G) - 5.8%
Others - 2.1%

Congressman Christian Sanchez was the frontrunner for the Senate seat by a long shot, and most polls had Sanchez and Xanders in the final two in the running, in which Sanchez would wipe the floor with Xanders. However, after some notable gaffes, Xanders lost second place to the lesser known Jason Shua, a small businessman running as a pro-life moderate Republican.

Lousiana Senate Run-Off

Businessman Jason Shua (R) - 52.8%
Congressman Christian Sanchez (R) - 47.2%

Shua received significant endorsements, both from Republicans who, after hearing tapes of some of the controversial remarks of Sanchez, could not vote for him, and Democrats, including State Senate Minority Leader Miles Landrieu. Even with some controversies, Sanchez was favored, but Shua won in an upset due to putting a lot of his own wealth into the race, and endorsements.

[TNF]

Kentucky Gubernatorial Jungle Primary

Former Senator Malcolm Xavier (D)    38%
Former Lt. Governor Nathan Harrison (D)          25%
State Senator Max Wellington (R)         17%
Activist Angus (I)                            11%                                             
Activist Antonio V (D)                                9%

Kentucky Gubernatorial Runoff

Former Senator Malcolm Xavier (D)    55%
Former Lt. Governor Nathan Harrison (D)   44%

[PPT Spiral]

Missouri Gubernatorial Jungle Primary

State Senator Maxwell (R) - 36.6%
Congressman X (D) - 26.0%
Mayor Shua (R) - 16.9%
State Representative Antonio V (D) - 13.8%
Labor Leader TNF (G) - 6.7%

Missouri Gubernatorial Runoff

State Senator Maxwell (R) - 53.7%
Congressman X (D) - 46.3%

[MadmanMotley]

Indiana Gubernatorial Jungle Primary:

Attorney General Shua (R) 34.8%
State Rep. X (D) 33.2%
Mayor Spiral (R) 16.9%
Councilmember TNF (G) 9.3%
State Senator Maxwell (L) 5.8%

Runoff:
Attorney General Shua 54.3% (R)
State Rep. X (D) 45.7%

[tmthforu94]

Kansas Gubernatorial Race

People have about rifts within the Kansas Republican Party, and this proved to be another knockout. With national focus being taken away from social issues and focused on economics, this race was seen as who could best lead the torch for lower taxes and less government. Four Republicans were fighting for the nomination, with whoever winning nearly certain to win a runoff against the only Democrat, State Senator TNF.

Speaker of the House Shua was seen as the initial favorite but faced brutal attacks from State Representative Maxwell and CPA Motley, who both highlighted moderate tendencies the Speaker has had. State Senator Spiral ran a campaign as the "moderate, pragmatic" choice, hoping his roots in SEK could pull him into the runoff.

State Senator TNF: 29.54%
Speaker of the House Shua: 24.48%
State Senator Spiral: 20.23%
State Representative Maxwell: 14.34%
CPA MadmanMotley: 11.41%

The Tea Party split between Maxwell and Motley, and while combined they would have reached the runoff, the lack of unity ultimately derailed them to the well funded Shua and well connected Spiral.

Run-off:
With many within the GOP upset that a more moderate Shua clinched a runoff spot, originally polling suggested this could be competitive. However, national groups quickly pitched in and a complete smear campaign was ran, labeling TNF as too radical and extreme for Kansas. The race was over before it even began.

Speaker of the House Shua: 67.64%
State Senator TNF: 32.36%