India 2014 - Results

[Citizen Hats]

It's hardly a slur to call Modi a fascist. He is one. Parts of India have also had democratically elected Communist governments.

Technically, a "fascist" is a person who advocates nationalizing the goals and direction of the means of production while leaving them in private hands is? Clearly, the term "fascist" has been bandied about here as a subjective slur as opposed to an objective technical description of his economic policies.

Technically, 'fascist' is a term debased of all meaning by common usage. You may as well be insisting on the technical use of the term 'imbecile'

[BigSkyBob]

oh my god you're back

Quick tip: Modi's economic policies are generally not what people who point out that he is a fascist murderer are focused on. That's kind of the point.

The fact that many people incorrectly use the term "fascist" doesn't make their ignorance of its technical meaning any less acceptable.

[BigSkyBob]

It's hardly a slur to call Modi a fascist. He is one. Parts of India have also had democratically elected Communist governments.

Technically, a "fascist" is a person who advocates nationalizing the goals and direction of the means of production while leaving them in private hands is? Clearly, the term "fascist" has been bandied about here as a subjective slur as opposed to an objective technical description of his economic policies.

Technically, 'fascist' is a term debased of all meaning by common usage.

Your statement, if True, leads to the immediate conclusion that it is just as accurate to say that Modi is not a "fascist" than to say that he is.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

oh my god you're back

Quick tip: Modi's economic policies are generally not what people who point out that he is a fascist murderer are focused on. That's kind of the point.

The fact that many people incorrectly use the term "fascist" doesn't make their ignorance of its technical meaning any less acceptable.

When people--including historians and political scientists--think 'fascism', they do think of economics at some point, yes, but it's usually not where their minds go first.

[Antonio the Sixth]

It's hardly a slur to call Modi a fascist. He is one. Parts of India have also had democratically elected Communist governments.

Technically, a "fascist" is a person who advocates nationalizing the goals and direction of the means of production while leaving them in private hands is? Clearly, the term "fascist" has been bandied about here as a subjective slur as opposed to an objective technical description of his economic policies.

This is not actually what fascism is.

[jaichind]

Despite all the talk about removing the criminal element from politics, 186 members of the new Lok Shabha or 34% are facing criminal charges versus 158 in the previous dissolved legislature.  About 21% of the new members are facing serious charges like murder, robbery, kidnapping and inciting communal disharmony.  This is not a surprise as I am pretty sure the entire SS delgation must be facing charges on inciting communal disharmony.  9 are charged with murder and 17 are charged with attempted murder with a majority of them from the BJP, despite Modi's promises to cleanup politics.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

There's a reason why they call him BS Bob.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Putting together a list of gains and losses at the moment - will be up tomorrow. Some interesting patterns.

[Maez]

Despite all the talk about removing the criminal element from politics, 186 members of the new Lok Shabha or 34% are facing criminal charges versus 158 in the previous dissolved legislature.  About 21% of the new members are facing serious charges like murder, robbery, kidnapping and inciting communal disharmony.  This is not a surprise as I am pretty sure the entire SS delgation must be facing charges on inciting communal disharmony.  9 are charged with murder and 17 are charged with attempted murder with a majority of them from the BJP, despite Modi's promises to cleanup politics.

Somehow I'm not surprised that the number has gone up.

[ag]

Despite all the talk about removing the criminal element from politics, 186 members of the new Lok Shabha or 34% are facing criminal charges versus 158 in the previous dissolved legislature.  About 21% of the new members are facing serious charges like murder, robbery, kidnapping and inciting communal disharmony.  This is not a surprise as I am pretty sure the entire SS delgation must be facing charges on inciting communal disharmony.  9 are charged with murder and 17 are charged with attempted murder with a majority of them from the BJP, despite Modi's promises to cleanup politics.

Somehow I'm not surprised that the number has gone up.

Especially, considering that, as far as the new PM is concerned, murder is not a serious crime at all. I mean, if these people were charged with corruption - that would be another matter. But they were only killing, weren't they?

[Gustaf]

Fascinating results. I have to admit that I am in the camp that doesn't think a Modi government will lead to all sorts of disasters and I think India needs the economic reforms that are now more likely.

At the same time, I think it's fair to not want to vote for him due to the riots, the RSS connections and so on.

[Sbane]

Despite all the talk about removing the criminal element from politics, 186 members of the new Lok Shabha or 34% are facing criminal charges versus 158 in the previous dissolved legislature.  About 21% of the new members are facing serious charges like murder, robbery, kidnapping and inciting communal disharmony.  This is not a surprise as I am pretty sure the entire SS delgation must be facing charges on inciting communal disharmony.  9 are charged with murder and 17 are charged with attempted murder with a majority of them from the BJP, despite Modi's promises to cleanup politics.

Somehow I'm not surprised that the number has gone up.

Especially, considering that, as far as the new PM is concerned, murder is not a serious crime at all. I mean, if these people were charged with corruption - that would be another matter. But they were only killing, weren't they?

Will you be disappointed if the massacres you seem to hope for do not come to pass?

[Gustaf]

This is not based on any proper analysis at all but I get a feeling that there weren't that many really close marginal seats in this election. Is that just my imagination?

[ag]

Despite all the talk about removing the criminal element from politics, 186 members of the new Lok Shabha or 34% are facing criminal charges versus 158 in the previous dissolved legislature.  About 21% of the new members are facing serious charges like murder, robbery, kidnapping and inciting communal disharmony.  This is not a surprise as I am pretty sure the entire SS delgation must be facing charges on inciting communal disharmony.  9 are charged with murder and 17 are charged with attempted murder with a majority of them from the BJP, despite Modi's promises to cleanup politics.

Somehow I'm not surprised that the number has gone up.

Especially, considering that, as far as the new PM is concerned, murder is not a serious crime at all. I mean, if these people were charged with corruption - that would be another matter. But they were only killing, weren't they?

Will you be disappointed if the massacres you seem to hope for do not come to pass?

I would be most delighted to be wrong here. Unfortunately, I will probably be right.

The expectations of economic progress that Modi election has caused are so outsized, that they will, certainly, be disappointed. At some point that disappointment will be reflected the popularity of the government - and, yes, the government has to face reelection. Communal tension is the strongest motivation of Indian politics - let us face it, we all know it. Who is going to start killing whom and when - that I do not know. But when the government is headed by somebody who believes murder to be a useful political tool, there is no doubt murder will be used as a tool.  And, BTW, it is far from clear that it will be the Muslim pogroms only - there are a lot more Hindus in India, and they represent an amply killable material.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

BJP gain from INC

Andhra Pradesh, Narsapuram
Andhra Pradesh, Secundrabad
Andhra Pradesh, Visakhapatnam
Arunachal Pradesh, Arunachal West
Assam, Dibrugarh
Assam, Jorhat
Assam, Lakhimpur
Bihar, Sasaram
Chandigarh, Chandigarh
Chhattisgarh, Korba
Delhi, Chandni Chowk
Delhi, East
Delhi, North East
Delhi, North West
Delhi, South
Delhi, West
Delhi, New Delhi
Goa, South
Gujarat, Anand
Gujarat, Banaskantha
Gujarat, Bardoli
Gujarat, Dahod
Gujarat, Jamnagar
Gujarat, Kheda
Gujarat, Patan
Gujarat, Porbandar
Gujarat, Rajkot
Gujarat, Surendranagar
Gujarat, Valsad
Haryana, Ambala
Haryana, Bhiwani-Mahendragarh
Haryana, Faridabad
Haryana, Gurgaon
Haryana, Karnal
Haryana, Kurukshetra
Haryana, Sonipat
Himachal Pradesh, Mandi
Jammu & Kashmir, Jammu
Jammu & Kashmir, Udhampur
Jharkhand, Ranchi
Karnataka, Bidar
Karnataka, Mysore
Madhya Pradesh, Dewas
Madhya Pradesh, Dhar
Madhya Pradesh, Hoshangabad
Madhya Pradesh, Khandwa
Madhya Pradesh, Madla
Madhya Pradesh, Mansour
Madhya Pradesh, Rajgarh
Madhya Pradesh, Ratlam
Madhya Pradesh, Shadol
Madhya Pradesh, Ujjain
Maharashtra, Bhiwandi
Maharashtra, Gadchirolli-Chimur
Maharashtra, Latur
Maharashtra, Mumbai North
Maharashtra, Mumbai North Central
Maharashtra, Nagpur
Maharashtra, Nandurbar
Maharashtra, Pune
Maharashtra, Sangli
Maharashtra, Solapur
Maharashtra, Wardha
Odisha, Sundargarh
Punjab, Gurdaspur
Punjab, Hoshiarpur
Rajasthan, Ajmer
Rajasthan, Alwar
Rajasthan, Banswara
Rajasthan, Barmer
Rajasthan, Bharatpur
Rajasthan, Bhilwara
Rajasthan, Chittorgarh
Rajasthan, Ganganagar
Rajasthan, Jaipur
Rajasthan, Jaipur Rural
Rajasthan, Jhunjhunu
Rajasthan, Johdpur
Rajasthan, Karuli-Dholpur
Rajasthan, Kota
Rajasthan, Nagaur
Rajasthan, Pali
Rajasthan, Rajsamand
Rajasthan, Sikar
Rajasthan, Tonk-Sawai-Madhopur
Rajasthan, Udaipur
Uttarakhand, Almora
Uttarakhand, Garhwal
Uttarakhand, Hardwar
Uttarakhand, Nainital-Udhamsingh Nagar
Uttarakhand, Tehri Garhwal
Uttar Pradesh, Akbarpur
Uttar Pradesh, Bahraich
Uttar Pradesh, Barabanki
Uttar Pradesh, Bareilly
Uttar Pradesh, Dhaurahra
Uttar Pradesh, Domariyaganj
Uttar Pradesh, Faizabad
Uttar Pradesh, Farrukhabad
Uttar Pradesh, Gonda
Uttar Pradesh, Jhansi
Uttar Pradesh, Kanpur
Uttar Pradesh, Kheri
Uttar Pradesh, Kushi Nagar
Uttar Pradesh, Maharajganj
Uttar Pradesh, Mordabad
Uttar Pradesh, Shrawasti
Uttar Pradesh, Sultanpur
Uttar Pradesh, Unnao

BJP gain from BSP

Madhya Pradesh, Rewa
Uttar Pradesh, Aligarh
Uttar Pradesh, Basti
Uttar Pradesh, Bhadoni
Uttar Pradesh, Deoria
Uttar Pradesh, Fatehpur Sikri
Uttar Pradesh, Gautam Buddh Nagar
Uttar Pradesh, Ghosi
Uttar Pradesh, Hamirpur
Uttar Pradesh, Jaunpur
Uttar Pradesh, Kairana
Uttar Pradesh, Lalganj
Uttar Pradesh, Misrikh
Uttar Pradesh, Muzaffarnagar
Uttar Pradesh, Phulpur
Uttar Pradesh, Saharanpur
Uttar Pradesh, Salempur
Uttar Pradesh, Sant Kabir Nagar
Uttar Pradesh, Sitapur

BJP gain from SP

Uttar Pradesh, Allahabad
Uttar Pradesh, Ambedkar Nagar
Uttar Pradesh, Ballia
Uttar Pradesh, Banda
Uttar Pradesh, Bulandshahr
Uttar Pradesh, Chandauli
Uttar Pradesh, Etawah
Uttar Pradesh, Fatehpur
Uttar Pradesh, Ghazipur
Uttar Pradesh, Hardoi
Uttar Pradesh, Jalaun
Uttar Pradesh, Kaiserganj
Uttar Pradesh, Kaushambi
Uttar Pradesh, Nagina
Uttar Pradesh, Machhlishahr
Uttar Pradesh, Mohanlalganj
Uttar Pradesh, Rampur
Uttar Pradesh, Robertsganj
Uttar Pradesh, Shahjahanpur

BJP gain from JD(U)

Bihar, Arrah
Bihar, Aurangabad
Bihar, Begusarai
Bihar, Gopalganj
Bihar, Jhanjharpur
Bihar, Muzaffarpur
Bihar, Pataliputra
Bihar, Ujiarpur
Bihar, Valmiki Nagar

BJP gain from RLD

Uttar Pradesh, Amroha
Uttar Pradesh, Baghpat
Uttar Pradesh, Bijnor
Uttar Pradesh, Hathras
Uttar Pradesh, Mathura

BJP gain from RJD

Bihar, Buxar
Bihar, Maharajganj
Bihar, Saran

BJP gain from NCP

Maharashtra, Bhandara-Gondiya
Maharashtra, Mumbai North East

BJP gain from AGP

Assam, Tezpur

BJP gain from CPI(M)

West Bengal, Asansol

BJP gain from DMK

Tamil Nadu, Kanniyakumari

BJP gain from JMM

Jharkhand, Palamau

BJP gain from JVM

Jharkhand, Kodarma

BJP gain from Independent

Bihar, Siwan
Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh
Jharkhand, Chatra
Jharkhand, Singhbhum
Maharashtra, Palghar
Rajasthan, Dausa
Uttar Pradesh, Etah

AIADMK gain from DMK

Tamil Nadu, Arakkonam
Tamil Nadu, Chennai Central
Tamil Nadu, Chennai North
Tamil Nadu, Kallakurichi
Tamil Nadu, Krishnagiri
Tamil Nadu, Madurai
Tamil Nadu, Nagapattinam
Tamil Nadu, Namakkal
Tamil Nadu, Nilgiris
Tamil Nadu, Perambalur
Tamil Nadu, Ramanathapuram
Tamil Nadu, Sriperumbudur
Tamil Nadu, Thanjavur
Tamil Nadu, Theni
Tamil Nadu, Thoothukkudi
Tamil Nadu, Tiruvannamalai
Tamil Nadu, Vellore

AIADMK gain from INC

Tamil Nadu, Arani
Tamil Nadu, Cuddalore
Tamil Nadu, Dindigul
Tamil Nadu, Kancheepuram
Tamil Nadu, Sivaganga
Tamil Nadu, Tirunelveli
Tamil Nadu, Virudhunagar

AIADMK gain from CPI

Tamil Nadu, Tenkasi

AIADMK gain from CPI(M)

Tamil Nadu, Coimbatore

AIADMK gain from MDMK

Tamil Nadu, Erode

AIADMK gain from VCK

Tamil Nadu, Chidambaram

AITMC gain from CPI(M)

West Bengal, Arambagh
West Bengal, Bankura
West Bengal, Bardhaman Purba
West Bengal, Bishnupur
West Bengal, Bolpur
West Bengal, Burdwan-Durgapur
West Bengal, Jalpaiguri
West Bengal, Jhargram

AITC gain from AIFB

West Bengal, Cooch Behar
West Bengal, Purulia

AITC gain from CPI

West Bengal, Ghatal
West Bengal, Medinipur

AITC gain from RSP

West Bengal, Alipurduars
West Bengal, Balurghat

TDP gain from INC

Andhra Pradesh, Amalapuram
Andhra Pradesh, Anantapur
Andhra Pradesh, Bapatla
Andhra Pradesh, Eluru
Andhra Pradesh, Guntur
Andhra Pradesh, Kakinada
Andhra Pradesh, Malkajgiri
Andhra Pradesh, Rajahmundry
Andhra Pradesh, Srikakulam
Andhra Pradesh, Vijayawada
Andhra Pradesh, Vizianagaram

TRS gain from INC

Andhra Pradesh, Bhongir
Andhra Pradesh, Chelvella
Andhra Pradesh, Karimnagar
Andhra Pradesh, Mahabubabad
Andhra Pradesh, Nizamabad
Andhra Pradesh, Peddapalle
Andhra Pradesh, Warangal
Andhra Pradesh, Zahirabad

TRS gain from TDP

Andhra Pradesh, Adilabad

YSRC gain from INC

Andhra Pradesh, Aruku
Andhra Pradesh, Kadapa
Andhra Pradesh, Kurnool
Andhra Pradesh, Nandyal
Andhra Pradesh, Nellore
Andhra Pradesh, Ongole
Andhra Pradesh, Rajampet
Andhra Pradesh, Tirupati

YSRC gain from TDP

Andhra Pradesh, Khammam

INC gain from BJP

Assam, Silchar
Chhattisgarh, Durg
Karnataka, Chikkodi
Karnataka, Chitradurga
Karnataka, Raichur
Karnataka, Tumkur
Punjab, Amritsar

INC gain from JD(U)

Bihar, Supal

INC gain from JD(S)

Karnataka, Banglalore Rural

SS gain from INC

Maharashtra, Mumbai North West
Maharashtra, Mumbai South
Maharashtra, Mumbai South Central
Maharashtra, Ramtek
Maharashtra, Ratnagiri-Sindhudurg

SS gain from NCP

Maharashtra, Osmanabad
Maharashtra, Nashik
Maharashtra, Thane

BJD gain from INC

Odisha, Balasore
Odisha, Bargarh
Odisha, Kalahandi
Odisha, Nabarangpur
Odisha, Sambalpur

BJD gain from CPI

Odisha, Jagatsinghpur

LJS gain from JD(U)

Bihar, Hajipur
Bihar, Jamui
Bihar, Khagaria
Bihar, Munger
Bihar, Samastipur

LJS gain from RJD

Bihar, Vaishali

AAP gain from INC

Punjab, Fatehgarh Sahib
Punjab, Patiala
Punjab, Sangrur

AAP gain from SAD

Punjab, Faridkot

RJD gain from BJP

Bihar, Araria
Bihar, Bhagalpur

RJD gain from JD(U)

Bihar, Madehpura

RJD gain from Independent

Bihar, Banka

CPI(M) gain from INC

Kerala, Kannur
West Bengal, Murshidabad
West Bengal, Raiganj

PDP gain from JKNC

Jammu & Kashmir, Anatnag
Jammu & Kashmir, Baramulla
Jammu & Kashmir, Srinagar

RLS gain from JD(U)

Bihar, Jahanabad
Bihar, Karakat
Bihar, Sitamarhi

AIUDF gain from INC

Assam, Barpeta
Assam, Karimganj

AD gain from INC

Uttar Pradesh, Pratapgarh

AD gain from SP

Uttar Pradesh, Mirzapur

INLD gain from INC

Haryana, Sirsa

INLD gain from HJC

Haryana, Hisar

AINRC gain from INC

Puducherry, Puducherry

CPI gain from INC

Kerala, Thrissur

JD(U) gain from BJP

Bihar, Purnia

JMM gain from BJP

Jharkhand, Rajmahal

NCP gain from BJP

Bihar, Katihar

NCP gain from INC

Lakshadweep, Lakshadweep

NPP gain from NCP

Meghalaya, Tura

PMK gain from DMK

Tamil Nadu, Dharmapuri

SAD gain from INC

Punjab, Anandpur Sahib

SP gain from BJP

Uttar Pradesh, Azamgarh

RSP gain from INC

Kerala, Kollam

Ind gain from INC

Kerala, Chalakudy
Kerala, Idukki

Ind gain from BPF

Assam, Kokrajhar

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Updated map

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

It's hardly a slur to call Modi a fascist. He is one. Parts of India have also had democratically elected Communist governments.

Technically, a "fascist" is a person who advocates nationalizing the goals and direction of the means of production while leaving them in private hands is? Clearly, the term "fascist" has been bandied about here as a subjective slur as opposed to an objective technical description of his economic policies.

Wait, you're still here?

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

It's hardly a slur to call Modi a fascist. He is one. Parts of India have also had democratically elected Communist governments.

Technically, a "fascist" is a person who advocates nationalizing the goals and direction of the means of production while leaving them in private hands is? Clearly, the term "fascist" has been bandied about here as a subjective slur as opposed to an objective technical description of his economic policies.

Wait, you're still here?

He came back. Like a venereal disease.

[Famous Mortimer]

Has anyone calculated effectiveness yet? I've seen this done a lot with past Indian elections. Like, the Sikkim Democratic Front was 100% effectively because it fielded 1 candidate and 100% of that 1 candidate won. BJD was 95% effective. AIADMK was 95% effective.

[jaichind]

This is not based on any proper analysis at all but I get a feeling that there weren't that many really close marginal seats in this election. Is that just my imagination?

You are right, out of 543 seats, 95 were won by a margin of 5% or less.  In 2009 196 seats were won by a margin of 5% of less and in 2004 151 were won by a margin of 5% of less.

[Famous Mortimer]

Actually I think AIADMK ran a candidate in Puducherry so they are less than 95%.

[Famous Mortimer]

Notes on some of the smaller parties that won seats:

Rashtriya Lok Samata Party: National People's Harmony Party. Bihar based party that broke away from Janata Dal (United). I thought maybe it had broken away from JD(U) in order to stay aligned with the BJP but it turns out they broke away when the BJP-JD(U) alliance was still in place, so it was probably just an ego thing. The name suggests it might be an attempt to revive George Fernandes' Samata Party but I've been unable to find anything explicitly linking the new party to the old Samata.

Apna Dal: I think this translates as "My Party" although "Our Party" would make more sense. Basically a BSP splinter founded by followers of BSP founder Kanshi Ram who opposed Mayawati taking over after his death.

Swabhimani Paksha: Self Respect Party? Marathi farmers party. It had a seat in the outgoing parliament as well where it previously supported UPA from the outside. Now it's a full fledged NDA member.

Also interesting to note, the one Revolutionary Socialist Party candidate elected was aligned with Congress, not the Left Front.

[Zanas]

Could someone explain the somewhat reverse trend in Karnataka where INC actually gained more seats on BJP than the other way round ?

[Famous Mortimer]

I assume it has to do with the somewhat popular state government and the infighting in Janata Dal (Secular).

[jaichind]

Notes on some of the smaller parties that won seats:

Rashtriya Lok Samata Party: National People's Harmony Party. Bihar based party that broke away from Janata Dal (United). I thought maybe it had broken away from JD(U) in order to stay aligned with the BJP but it turns out they broke away when the BJP-JD(U) alliance was still in place, so it was probably just an ego thing. The name suggests it might be an attempt to revive George Fernandes' Samata Party but I've been unable to find anything explicitly linking the new party to the old Samata.

Apna Dal: I think this translates as "My Party" although "Our Party" would make more sense. Basically a BSP splinter founded by followers of BSP founder Kanshi Ram who opposed Mayawati taking over after his death.

Swabhimani Paksha: Self Respect Party? Marathi farmers party. It had a seat in the outgoing parliament as well where it previously supported UPA from the outside. Now it's a full fledged NDA member.

Also interesting to note, the one Revolutionary Socialist Party candidate elected was aligned with Congress, not the Left Front.

1) Actually RLSP was formed by JD(U) rebel Upendra Kushwaha before JD(U) broke with BJP. Upendra Kushwaha ran in 2009 and won as an independent after he broke with the JD(U).  RLSP was formed in 2013 so Upendra Kushwaha can have a platform to run for re-election.  It was only in 2014 when RLSP allied with BJP
2) What is funny about AD was that AD broke from BSP in 1995 because it protested against the BJP-BSP alliance in UP.  Now in 2014 AD has an alliance with BJP.
3) RSP in Kerala has a track record to switching sides going back to the 1970s.  Not surprising it went with INC this time around.
4) NCP, even thought it is an ally of INC, ran and won Lakshadweep over the INC as the INC NCP alliance only applies to Maharashtra, Bihar, and Gujarat.
5) SWP ran in 2009 as well and won.  There were talks of an AAP-SWP alliance in Maharashtra this election but SWP went with NDA instead.