NC-PPP: Post-primary, Libertarian candidate his new high - race is still tied
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Author Topic: NC-PPP: Post-primary, Libertarian candidate his new high - race is still tied  (Read 2166 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: May 13, 2014, 10:31:57 AM »

Q4 The candidates for U.S. Senate are Democrat
Kay Hagan, Republican Thom Tillis, and
Libertarian Sean Haugh. If the election was
today, who would you vote for?

Kay Hagan...................................................... 38%
Thom Tillis ...................................................... 36%
Sean Haugh.................................................... 11%
Undecided....................................................... 15%

Q5 Horse Race with Waugh supporters asked
whether they would lean to Hagan or Tillis:

Kay Hagan...................................................... 41%
Thom Tillis ...................................................... 41%
Not sure .......................................................... 18%

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama's job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 42%
Disapprove...................................................... 52%
Not sure .......................................................... 6%

Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kay
Haganís job performance?

Approve .......................................................... 38%
Disapprove...................................................... 49%
Not sure .......................................................... 13%

Q3 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Thom Tillis?

Favorable........................................................ 30%
Unfavorable .................................................... 46%
Not sure .......................................................... 25%

...

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_513.pdf
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #1 on: May 13, 2014, 10:39:22 AM »

I doubt Waugh's going to get eleven... Which means I'd put this race at tossup Tilt/R, But Hagan still has a decent chance to win.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #2 on: May 13, 2014, 10:52:04 AM »

Great news!
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Miles
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« Reply #3 on: May 13, 2014, 10:54:37 AM »

This reminds me of a poll they did in 2010 (during the summer, IIRC) where Burr was leading Marshall 39-37.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #4 on: May 13, 2014, 11:30:06 AM »

Funny that Obama is the most popular of all three of them.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: May 13, 2014, 12:02:12 PM »

Who will be more likely to abandon the libertarian, the Hagan second choice voters or the Tillis second choice voters? You'd think the former, but VA-Gov seemed to be the opposite.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #6 on: May 13, 2014, 01:35:46 PM »

No post primary bounce for Tillis.

Excellent News!
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Maxwell
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« Reply #7 on: May 13, 2014, 02:05:03 PM »

Who will be more likely to abandon the libertarian, the Hagan second choice voters or the Tillis second choice voters? You'd think the former, but VA-Gov seemed to be the opposite.

I think there is a difference between the Virginia Democratic Party and the North Carolina Democratic Party though. I actually think that the first one is more fiscally conservative than the latter. It could go either way though.
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SPC
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« Reply #8 on: May 13, 2014, 02:06:38 PM »

This reminds me of a poll they did in 2010 (during the summer, IIRC) where Burr was leading Marshall 39-37.

Based on this, I think Hagan is more vulnerable than just the margin of this poll would have you believe.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #9 on: May 13, 2014, 03:08:19 PM »

This reminds me of a poll they did in 2010 (during the summer, IIRC) where Burr was leading Marshall 39-37.

Based on this, I think Hagan is more vulnerable than just the margin of this poll would have you believe.


Yes, hence Hagan is trying to slime Tillis by associating Tillis with the horrific Hagancare
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Anti Democrat Democrat Club
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« Reply #10 on: May 13, 2014, 03:10:02 PM »

This reminds me of a poll they did in 2010 (during the summer, IIRC) where Burr was leading Marshall 39-37.

Based on this, I think Hagan is more vulnerable than just the margin of this poll would have you believe.


the horrific Hagancare

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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #11 on: May 13, 2014, 03:21:16 PM »

No post primary bounce for Tillis.

Excellent News!

There's no change whatsoever.

Excellent news because... Tillis is supposed to be doing better all the sudden?
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SWE
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« Reply #12 on: May 13, 2014, 04:15:00 PM »

This reminds me of a poll they did in 2010 (during the summer, IIRC) where Burr was leading Marshall 39-37.

Based on this, I think Hagan is more vulnerable than just the margin of this poll would have you believe.


Yes, hence Hagan is trying to slime Tillis by associating Tillis with the horrific Hagancare

What happened to Shaheencare?
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #13 on: May 14, 2014, 10:06:05 AM »

New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2014-05-11

Summary: D: 38%, R: 36%, U: 15%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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