Who could make this
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Author Topic: Who could make this  (Read 1081 times)
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
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« on: May 03, 2014, 10:54:33 AM »

The following is what I believe is an ideal map for the Republicans; states I could CONCEIVABLY see them winning. Not a prediction or what is likely, but an ideal hypothetical scenario with the best possible environment. Which R vs. D matchup would be needed to possibly make anything resembling this map. If not exact, what would you give or take?

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IceSpear
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« Reply #1 on: May 03, 2014, 11:11:18 AM »

Huntsman/Martinez vs. Sanders/Kucinich? I could also see them winning NJ, CT, DE, WA, and ME statewide in this scenario.
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Del Tachi
Republican95
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« Reply #2 on: May 03, 2014, 12:14:47 PM »

In an ideal Republican scenario, there is no reason that the GOP could not sweep the West Coast, Midwest, and pick up NJ, DE, CT, and ME.  MD may even be vulnerable in a total landslide. 
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Sol
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« Reply #3 on: May 03, 2014, 12:37:25 PM »

MD may even be vulnerable in a total landslide. 

Probably not. County maps of course make it look close, but really it's actually safer for the Ds than anywhere else.
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Mister Mets
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« Reply #4 on: May 03, 2014, 02:05:15 PM »

Susanna Martinez/ Rob Portman VS a ticket without HRC (Joe Biden/ Kirsten Gilibrand or Andrew Cuomo/ Tammy Duckworth) in a good environment for the Republicans.
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"'Oeps!' De blunders van Rick Perry Indicted"
DarthNader
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« Reply #5 on: May 03, 2014, 03:02:30 PM »

Pre-Bridgegate Christie/Sandoval vs. Sanders/Grayson (NJ switches too, of course). Connecticut also in play.
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Del Tachi
Republican95
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« Reply #6 on: May 04, 2014, 10:39:57 PM »

MD may even be vulnerable in a total landslide. 

Probably not. County maps of course make it look close, but really it's actually safer for the Ds than anywhere else.

The suburbs of Howard and Montgomery County seem elastic enough to make the state vulnerable. 
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Rockefeller GOP
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« Reply #7 on: May 04, 2014, 11:25:27 PM »

I think if we're winning that many states, we've picked up Maine.
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Never
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« Reply #8 on: May 05, 2014, 01:57:21 PM »

I think if we're winning that many states, we've picked up Maine.
I'd agree, though the most liberal congressional district would probably still vote for the Democrat.
Also, If MN is voting Republican, I don't see why WA, NJ, and CT would not.

In 2016, I could see any of the top-tier Republican candidates (Scott Walker, Jeb Bush, or even Rand Paul) defeating Biden by a landslide of this magnitude. However, if Hillary Clinton runs for President that year, it might take until 2020 or 2024 to see this map. Susana Martinez/Kelly Ayotte (R) vs. Andrew Cuomo/Barbara Boxer (D) seems plausible.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #9 on: May 05, 2014, 02:11:45 PM »

I'm guessing Jeb Bush/Tom Cotton vs Bill de Blasio/Corey Booker
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #10 on: May 05, 2014, 02:36:17 PM »
« Edited: May 05, 2014, 02:41:00 PM by OC »

Jeb v  OMally. He would have to make a surprisingly big splash in picking running mate in order to win. Duable, not impossible.
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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #11 on: May 05, 2014, 04:44:53 PM »

I think if we're winning that many states, we've picked up Maine.

Well I only highlighted states that I think are winnable, not as an actual map. We technically do break through ME-2.
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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #12 on: May 05, 2014, 04:48:09 PM »

In general, I don't understand why the whole forum (which seems Democratically dominated) is so doom and gloom for Republicans. Parties have lows (70s-92 Dems, anyone?) and the party WILL rebrand itself to survive. History dictates that. It's like they all gather to give each other a confirmation bias that the other side is dying, when I see this year shaping up more and more to be a Six-year Itch, 2006-style elephant stampede.
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Mechaman
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« Reply #13 on: May 05, 2014, 04:54:50 PM »

In general, I don't understand why the whole forum (which seems Democratically dominated) is so doom and gloom for Republicans. Parties have lows (70s-92 Dems, anyone?) and the party WILL rebrand itself to survive. History dictates that. It's like they all gather to give each other a confirmation bias that the other side is dying, when I see this year shaping up more and more to be a Six-year Itch, 2006-style elephant stampede.

I agree that the map isn't as favorable to Dems as some would suggest, but explain how this season is shaping up to be an "elephant stampede"?  Besides historical patterns?
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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #14 on: May 05, 2014, 05:01:40 PM »

In general, I don't understand why the whole forum (which seems Democratically dominated) is so doom and gloom for Republicans. Parties have lows (70s-92 Dems, anyone?) and the party WILL rebrand itself to survive. History dictates that. It's like they all gather to give each other a confirmation bias that the other side is dying, when I see this year shaping up more and more to be a Six-year Itch, 2006-style elephant stampede.

I agree that the map isn't as favorable to Dems as some would suggest, but explain how this season is shaping up to be an "elephant stampede"?  Besides historical patterns?

Was just being creative. We have an incumbent with low approval ratings, an unpopular law that several red-state (as in won by Romney some by double digits) Democrats are still gripping onto, Democratic fatigue, Republican enthusiasm whilst Democratic strong groups are probably going to stay home, and most importantly, good GOP candidates running in already red states with all those above factors acting as tailwinds. I am not saying that they will ALL lose (Scott Brown will put up a fight, but I doubt he will break 47.5% tops. Iowa is politically schizophrenic, and I still find it shocking that Al Franken is cruising to victory despite his microscopic spoiler victory in a good Dem year), but I think all the Dems (I think it is a 50-40 split on this forum) here are panicking a bit and ganging up on Republicans a lot to keep their hopes alive.
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The Free North
CTRattlesnake
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« Reply #15 on: May 05, 2014, 06:55:54 PM »

Pre-Bridgegate Christie/Sandoval vs. Sanders/Grayson (NJ switches too, of course). Connecticut also in play.

Agree with this, but don't think we see this map anytime soon.


Also, another Libertarian from CT, thats cool
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