This looks pretty awful. How is Cassidy only getting 18%? Even in the jungle primary, and how is Pryor up 10 on Cotton when McConnell is up 1 on Grimes? This is inconsistent with everything we've seen so far. Although NC and KY polls look OK.
I think there have just been too many polls in a row now to discount that Pryor has rebounded. Even if we have reservations about some of the polls, this has been showing up in Lean D territory in half of them and no one has Cotton up anymore. The same is true in KY, which shows up as a toss-up every time despite the state's lean.
My theory is that AR/KY have a lot more people benefiting from Obamacare than nationally because they both have large uninsured populations and well-functioning exchanges. This local success may be propping up the Dem brand there relative to earlier Obama era numbers.
