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  NC-PPP: Sen. Hagan (D) trails, but not Tillis - who leads the GOP primary
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Author Topic: NC-PPP: Sen. Hagan (D) trails, but not Tillis - who leads the GOP primary  (Read 1351 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: April 08, 2014, 02:14:00 pm »

Later more ...
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #1 on: April 08, 2014, 03:39:17 pm »

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Miles
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« Reply #2 on: April 08, 2014, 04:56:16 pm »

Almost exactly the same results as SUSA- Harris doing the best, Tillis doing the worst.
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Sol
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« Reply #3 on: April 08, 2014, 05:08:16 pm »

Wonderful news!

The only reason why Brannon and co. are leading Hagan is because they have low name rec.
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Miles
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« Reply #4 on: April 08, 2014, 05:11:07 pm »

For the primary:

Tillis-18%
Brannon- 15%
Harris- 11%
Grant- 7%
Alexander- 6%
Bradshaw- 5%
Snyder- 2%
Kryn- 1%
Unsure- 34%

Again, SUSA also had exactly 34% unsure.

Even with a month left and despite Tillis' spending, this thing probably still goes to a runoff; the numbers aren't really budging much.
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Scott
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« Reply #5 on: April 08, 2014, 05:15:49 pm »

The only reason why Brannon and co. are leading Hagan is because they have low name rec.

You think Hagan will lead when their name recognition improves? Huh
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Everything Burns...
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« Reply #6 on: April 08, 2014, 05:56:56 pm »

For the primary:

Tillis-18%
Brannon- 15%
Harris- 11%
Grant- 7%
Alexander- 6%
Bradshaw- 5%
Snyder- 2%
Kryn- 1%
Unsure- 34%

Again, SUSA also had exactly 34% unsure.

Even with a month left and despite Tillis' spending, this thing probably still goes to a runoff; the numbers aren't really budging much.

Any chance he loses the run-off?
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LeBron FitzGerald
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« Reply #7 on: April 08, 2014, 06:43:24 pm »

The only reason why Brannon and co. are leading Hagan is because they have low name rec.

You think Hagan will lead when their name recognition improves? Huh
Think about it. When you compare a generic R to a secessionist, an unpopular Speaker of the controversial NC legislature, and a slew of Tea Partiers, voters would rather take the aforementioned generic candidate for sure. As they become more known, their cookiness will turnoff a lot of Republicans big time and lead many to vote for D'Annunzio or Waddell instead. I would want to hope that North Carolinans have learned their lesson from the segregationist trainwreck that was Jesse Helms. If someone like Walter Jones or Dan Forest had decided to run though, then I would think she would be in trouble then, but not with Tillis, Brannon or Harris.

Hopefully this does go to a runoff. As is, Kay Hagan has more than a 6 to 1 cash advantage on Tillis and this race tilts Democratic right now and the extra 2 1/2 months through May, June and early July would just further drain out Tillis of his cash right as we jump into another summer of fun with our friends in the legislature! It would be so funny if he did lose this runoff to Brannon.
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Deus Naturae
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« Reply #8 on: April 08, 2014, 07:22:20 pm »

Somehow, I doubt that any voter who is turned off by the GOP nominee because of their "cookiness" is going to opt for D'Annunzio or Waddell.
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Miles
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« Reply #9 on: April 08, 2014, 07:47:50 pm »


A lot of far-right Republicans would easily line up behind a non-Tillis. That said, I'd say the chances of him losing the runoff are less than 50%, ATM.

Somehow, I doubt that any voter who is turned off by the GOP nominee because of their "cookiness" is going to opt for D'Annunzio or Waddell.

And this; more so for D'Annuzio though. Staying home would be more likely than voting third-party.
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Miles
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« Reply #10 on: April 09, 2014, 02:27:00 am »

New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2014-04-06

Summary: D: 43%, R: 41%, U: 16%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Sol
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« Reply #11 on: April 09, 2014, 08:07:12 pm »

The only reason why Brannon and co. are leading Hagan is because they have low name rec.

You think Hagan will lead when their name recognition improves? Huh

More people know Tillis, and his exploits as leader of the NCGA, thus he lags behind. Brannon and co. are less well known, although they have even more liabilities, thus they poll as generic pubs.
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