Women and Hispanics (user search)
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  Women and Hispanics (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Will the Republicans finally be able to tackle the Hispanic and Women vote in 2008?
#1
Yes, both groups will be GOP.
 
#2
Yes, only Hispanic group will be GOP.
 
#3
Yes, only Female group will be GOP.
 
#4
No, both will still go Democrat.
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 38

Author Topic: Women and Hispanics  (Read 3991 times)
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,034
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« on: March 31, 2005, 02:50:43 PM »

Given that the GOP leads among married women already, and given that the number of older married continues to gain on the number of younger unmarried women, and  given also that the vast majority of unmarried women seek to become married women, we can assume that at some point in time, the GOP will outpoll the Dems in women in general.

two rather obvious facts that you conveniently miss:

1-older married women died, and die at a much faster rate than young unmarried ones
2-women who just reach voting age are almost always unmarried
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,034
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #1 on: April 01, 2005, 12:20:23 AM »


two rather obvious facts that you conveniently miss:

1-older married women died, and die at a much faster rate than young unmarried ones

True, but older widows rarely change their political affiliation after they are widowed.  Divorced women or never married women lean strongly Democratic, but I think most widows will remain whatever they were when they were married.  Widowhood doesn't have the potential changes on a person's political views that divorce does.

no no, it's not widoews that are the issues, it's old married women that die. yet they are replaced in the voter pool by young single women. the fallacy also exposed by this poster is that women magically turn Republican when they get married which is false, Republican women are more likely to be married for a variety of reasons, the cause and effect are mixed up. The logic used in the post is even worse than the original post.

Anyone remember when that electoral-vote.com site had Kerry as the projected winner in Utah? This post, as well as the original post, is basically using the same logic used in that.
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