afleitch
Moderator
Atlas Star
Posts: 29,862
|
 |
« on: March 24, 2005, 04:16:38 PM » |
|
Share of the vote predictions
Labour 36-38%
Conservatives 18-22%
Lib Dems 18-22%
SNP 16-18%
Seat Changes
Tory Gains:
Angus from SNP
Edinburgh South West from LAB
Dumfreisshire, Clydesdale and Tweedale from LAB
Dumfries and Galloway fom LAB
Lib Dem Gains:
Edinburgh South from LAB
East Dumbartonshire from LAB
Aberdeen South from LAB
Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey from LAB
SNP Gains:
Dundee East from LAB
Seats to watch:
Stirling and East Renfrewshire: Practically unchanged from the old Stirling and Eastwood seats. They are not as safe as they look on paper, East Renfewshire especially. Take a stroll down the streets in Stirling...something is rumbling. Lib Dems may take enough votes for the Tories to pull ahead here.
Perth and North Perthshire: Annabelle Ewings stomping ground. Looks secure but could be toppled by the Tories. She deserves to stay on.
East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow: Labour will win here, but with an independent candidate targeting the unpopular Adam Ingram could become Scotland's answer to Wyre Forest. But unlikely.
|
