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  CT-Quinnipiac: Gov. Malloy (D) in trouble
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Author Topic: CT-Quinnipiac: Gov. Malloy (D) in trouble  (Read 1218 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: March 04, 2014, 06:10:25 am »

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Tom Foley the Republican and Dannel Malloy the Democrat, for whom would you vote?

42-42

...

There is a large gender gap as women back the Democrat 45 - 37 percent while men go Republican 48 - 39 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds.

Foley leads 83 - 9 percent among Republicans and 45 - 33 percent among independent voters while Gov. Malloy takes Democrats 79 - 10 percent.

Malloy gets a 48 percent approval rating from Connecticut voters, while 45 percent disapprove. Voters are divided 45 - 46 percent on whether he should be reelected.

Foley leads a Republican primary with 36 percent. His nearest competitor is Danbury Mayor Mark Boughton with 11 percent. No other candidate tops 6 percent and 35 percent of Republican voters remain undecided.

Malloy tops other possible Republican challengers by margins ranging from 6 to 11 percentage points.

Connecticut voters give their governor a 46 - 43 percent favorability rating. Foley gets a 38 - 21 percent favorability. For other Republican candidates, anywhere from 72 percent of voters to 89 percent don't know enough to form an opinion.

Connecticut voters give President Barack Obama a negative 45 - 51 percent approval rating, his lowest score ever in the state. There is a wide gender gap as men disapprove 57 - 40 percent rating while women are divided, with 49 percent approving and 47 percent disapproving.

The president gets a negative 7 - 92 percent from Republicans and a negative 38 - 57 percent from independent voters, while Democrats approve 80 - 16 percent. He gets a lukewarm 49 - 43 percent approval from voters 18 to 29 years old and negative grades among older voters.

...

From February 26 - March 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,878 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.3 percentage points. The survey includes 477 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.5 percentage points. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=2015
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #1 on: March 04, 2014, 06:44:00 am »

Lean D?
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International Brotherhood of Bernard
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« Reply #2 on: March 04, 2014, 07:14:23 am »

He won't lose with 48% approvals. Those dems will surely come home to him in November.
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sg0508
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« Reply #3 on: March 04, 2014, 09:35:37 am »

Barring a Jodi Rell-like moderate, he should win. The democrats will come home in the end. It's the same problem the GOP has in IL each cycle now; weak incumbent democrat, but too many crappy GOP candidates and they end up losing.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: March 04, 2014, 01:11:25 pm »

Barring a Jodi Rell-like moderate, he should win. The democrats will come home in the end. It's the same problem the GOP has in IL each cycle now; weak incumbent democrat, but too many crappy GOP candidates and they end up losing.

The difference is that Malloy has a narrowly positive approval rating whereas Quinn is in the gutter. That's why I'd call this lean D whereas IL is a toss up.
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Marxist-Cornpopist Thought
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« Reply #5 on: March 04, 2014, 01:16:05 pm »

His approvals give me much more optimism. Should be a narrow Malloy win.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #6 on: March 04, 2014, 01:24:26 pm »

For what it's worth:

In the 2010 Exit Poll, Malloy lost Indies by 21 points (!!!) BUT won the state by 0.5%

In this poll, Malloy is losing Indies by 12 points and is tied with Foley overall.
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Scott
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« Reply #7 on: March 04, 2014, 01:28:47 pm »

Quinnipiac tends to show Republicans doing well in CT at least until the final weeks before the election.  This was true for the last couple Senate races, and the gubernatorial race, if I'm not mistaken.  Frankly, I'm not too worried about Malloy's standing right now.

I think the budget he proposed early in his term is what's dragging him down, still.  Otherwise, the majority of his accomplishments are popular here.
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #8 on: March 05, 2014, 10:52:25 am »

New Poll: Connecticut Governor by Quinnipiac University on 2014-03-02

Summary: D: 42%, R: 42%, U: 14%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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