The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)

[windjammer]

I haven't followed NJ, why this rating change???

A messy democrat nominee?

[RogueBeaver]

I haven't followed NJ, why this rating change???

A messy democrat nominee?

No Lonegan?

[Miles]

Thanks to cinyc for helping with AP -> Excel issues.

Updated CD numbers:

[Oldiesfreak1854]

AP gives Palazzo the check.

Pro-Cochran groups are considering whether to dial back. Henry Barbour suggesting they'll try attacking the outside groups supporting McDaniel.

They need to be putting more resources into the primary, not fewer.  A divisive primary is much easier to recover from than having a dreadful candidate like "Mamacita" McDaniel.

[publicunofficial]

I haven't followed NJ, why this rating change???

A messy democrat nominee?

Belgard is good, but MacArthur is also good and a decent fit for the district.

[RogueBeaver]

They're not doing that because as Martin and Kraushaar note, the guy they'd attack could well be their nominee.

[GaussLaw]

AP gives Palazzo the check.

Pro-Cochran groups are considering whether to dial back. Henry Barbour suggesting they'll try attacking the outside groups supporting McDaniel.

They need to be putting more resources into the primary, not fewer.  A divisive primary is much easier to recover from than having a dreadful candidate like "Mamacita" McDaniel.

But McDaniel seems inevitable, so for the GOP, they're best off getting used to it.

[RogueBeaver]

^ Exactly.

[Never]

AP gives Palazzo the check.

Pro-Cochran groups are considering whether to dial back. Henry Barbour suggesting they'll try attacking the outside groups supporting McDaniel.

They need to be putting more resources into the primary, not fewer.  A divisive primary is much easier to recover from than having a dreadful candidate like "Mamacita" McDaniel.

But McDaniel seems inevitable, so for the GOP, they're best off getting used to it.

Yeah, the party needs to just start focusing on other races. Even though McDaniel will probably win, it would be best for the GOP to try and pickup at least seven or eight Senate seats now as a buffer against any catastrophes with Republican-held seats.

[ag]

Dems should start running McDaniel adds. In other states

[cinyc]

Turnout statewide so far was 106.7% of the 2012 Republican Presidential Primary turnout.  Relative turnout in the 30 counties McDaniel won was 4.36 points higher than turnout in the 52 counties Cochran won.  He also won them by a wider margin - 61.3% to 56.4% - though there were about 73,000 fewer votes cast in the McDaniel counties than the Cochran counties.

Turnout ranged from to 65.5% of 2012 in Benton County to 176.5% of 2012 in Coahoma County.  Both counties are pretty small.

Here's a map of relative turnout.  If 2014>2012, the county is red; if 2014<2012, the county is blue.  Gradation is in 5-point increments up to 40%.



Turnout relative to 2012 was lowest in Northern Mississippi and highest in the Mississippi Delta and McDaniel's home region in Southern Mississippi.

[Miles]

^ Great job!

[RogueBeaver]

Another weird incident involving McDaniel staffers.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

R+3 CA-25 just became safe R thanks to the idiotic top two system. Yup, 2 Republicans on the November ballot.

http://vote.sos.ca.gov/returns/us-rep/district/25/

Maybe that's a more democratic system considering that the primary vote was almost 65% Republican-leaning.  

Yesterday was a low turnout election, which heavily favors Republicans. The November electorate will be both more Democratic and more democratic.

[Miles]

CA-31: RRH says Gooch is conceding to Aguilar.

That would have been pretty embarrassing otherwise.

[publicunofficial]

Rogers, the Democrat loser in CA-25, has endorsed Steve Knight.

[Miles]

MT-AL R Primary. Zinke won with 33%; Rosendale and Stapleton each about 28-29%.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Rogers, the Democrat loser in CA-25, has endorsed Steve Knight.

He should endorse repealing top two instead.  Having a choice between 2 right-wing Republicans and no one else isn't much of a choice.

[publicunofficial]

CA-31: RRH says Gooch is conceding to Aguilar.

That would have been pretty embarrassing otherwise.

Gooch has apparently not conceded, but Reyes has.


Aguilar is also claiming victory.

[Tender Branson]

June 10 results:

Arkansas

Maine

Nevada

North Dakota

South Carolina

Virginia

[Tender Branson]

June 10 results:

Arkansas

Maine

Nevada

North Dakota

South Carolina

Virginia

Looks like the only "interesting" thing next week is who wins NV-Gov. on the DEM side and the SC races.

[Anti Democrat Democrat Club]

I'm personally interested in ME-2, obviously.

I don't know where yall stand but I'm not a fan of appeasers. I'm wholeheartedly endorsing Troy Jackson because he's not afraid to stand up for Democratic principles, unlike Cain.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

June 10 results:

Arkansas

Maine

Nevada

North Dakota

South Carolina

Virginia

Looks like the only "interesting" thing next week is who wins NV-Gov. on the DEM side and the SC races.

Huh?  What SC race is it you find riveting?  The GOP Lt. Gov primary?  The Supt. of Education primaries?  What could well be the last election held to select an Adjutant General by votes if the amendment passes in November?

[Hifly]

Aguilar's lead over Gooch in CA-31 is now down to 183 votes. There are still around under 2000 ballots to be counted in the district.

[Anti Democrat Democrat Club]

IIRC Gooch has conceded though.