The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)
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Author Topic: The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)  (Read 146759 times)
🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
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« Reply #100 on: May 06, 2014, 07:58:07 PM »
Quote from: Miles on May 06, 2014, 07:53:23 PM
Jones is trailing by 38 votes, but just over 10% is in.

?    AP says 22% in and Jones ahead by nearly 1000.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #101 on: May 06, 2014, 07:58:38 PM »
And all of that bump seems to have been from Harnett dumping all at once so it is possible that it could even back out and she'll fall back into the 50's now that her home is all on the table.

Roche needs Moore to flip, and go big for him and Randolph. That would put him in running.
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Miles
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« Reply #102 on: May 06, 2014, 07:59:06 PM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on May 06, 2014, 07:56:22 PM
So what should we be looking for in NC-3?

^ Onslow, Craven and Carteret Counties cast the most votes. Griffin is from Craven, Onslow has a military base that Jones has always tended well to.

Quote from: IDS Legislator Maxwell on May 06, 2014, 07:57:49 PM
Quote from: Miles on May 06, 2014, 07:53:23 PM
Jones is trailing by 38 votes, but just over 10% is in.

I'm looking at Politico, which seems to have around 22% in, and they have Jones with a 1163 vote and a 6.8% lead.

Thats right. Must have just updated.
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Miles
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« Reply #103 on: May 06, 2014, 08:10:13 PM »
Tillis is at 45% with almost half in. Looks like he's got this....
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Kevin
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« Reply #104 on: May 06, 2014, 08:17:03 PM »
Quote from: Miles on May 06, 2014, 08:10:13 PM
Tillis is at 45% with almost half in. Looks like he's got this....

I am not too familiar with NC geography, but are there any other crucial counties throughout the state they have not reported yet?
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« Reply #105 on: May 06, 2014, 08:19:30 PM »
Jones is 2K ahead, 53-44, with 43% reporting. Keep it up Walter!
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Miles
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« Reply #106 on: May 06, 2014, 08:20:22 PM »
Quote from: Kevin on May 06, 2014, 08:17:03 PM
Quote from: Miles on May 06, 2014, 08:10:13 PM
Tillis is at 45% with almost half in. Looks like he's got this....

I am not too familiar with NC geography, but are there any other crucial counties throughout the state they have not reported yet?

According to the AP, almost 80% of Meck is still out.

Also with 82% of CD2 in Aiken is up 2.
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GaussLaw
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« Reply #107 on: May 06, 2014, 08:20:38 PM »
How is 25% enough?

I'm not doubting you Miles as you seem like an NC/LA expert, but how do you know if the votes in are representative enough of the other 75%?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #108 on: May 06, 2014, 08:22:49 PM »
AP calls it for Tillis. Still waiting on NC-3...
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Miles
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« Reply #109 on: May 06, 2014, 08:23:10 PM »
Also, New Hanover (Wilmington) is almost all out.

Quote from: GaussLaw on May 06, 2014, 08:20:38 PM
How is 25% enough?

I'm not doubting you Miles as you seem like an NC/LA expert, but how do you know if the votes in are representative enough of the other 75%?

Huh?
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #110 on: May 06, 2014, 08:23:21 PM »
Johnston, Wake, Nash, Edgecomb, Wilson and Harnett County. A good chunk of Raleigh metro.

Tillis is above 40% in all of them. He is over 50% in two of them.

Yea, this is over.
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GaussLaw
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« Reply #111 on: May 06, 2014, 08:24:56 PM »
Quote from: Miles on May 06, 2014, 08:23:10 PM
Also, New Hanover (Wilmington) is almost all out.

Quote from: GaussLaw on May 06, 2014, 08:20:38 PM
How is 25% enough?

I'm not doubting you Miles as you seem like an NC/LA expert, but how do you know if the votes in are representative enough of the other 75%?

Huh?

Never mind since AP called it, but I was just wondering how people are able to tell with 25% of the results in whether a victory is guaranteed.
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Miles
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« Reply #112 on: May 06, 2014, 08:26:08 PM »
Quote from: GaussLaw on May 06, 2014, 08:24:56 PM

Never mind since AP called it, but I was just wondering how people are able to tell with 25% of the results in whether a victory is guaranteed.

When did I say that? Tongue

I said with 45% in, he was holding pretty steady at 45%.
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Miles
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« Reply #113 on: May 06, 2014, 08:28:31 PM »
The state site has Jones behind 3 with 40% in...

The AP has him up 9 with 47% in....
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #114 on: May 06, 2014, 08:29:58 PM »
Have those 3 counties reported yet?
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Miles
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« Reply #115 on: May 06, 2014, 08:31:53 PM »
^ Carteret is all in and Griffin won by single-digits.

All of Onslow is out.

The AP and the state site differ quite a bit on Craven.
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rbt48
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« Reply #116 on: May 06, 2014, 08:32:06 PM »
« Edited: May 06, 2014, 08:40:50 PM by rbt48 »
Will more votes be cast in the NC Democratic or Republican Senate primary?  Right now numbers are approximately as follow:
D - 283,000
R - 268,000

Though worth noting that 54 more precincts have reported in the Democratic race.
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Miles
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« Reply #117 on: May 06, 2014, 08:33:37 PM »
Apparently Adams is cruising in CD12. She leads Graham 51-17 (!) with more than half in.
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Miles
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« Reply #118 on: May 06, 2014, 08:35:06 PM »
NC-02 could go to a runoff. Aiken is at 40.7% with 87% in.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #119 on: May 06, 2014, 08:35:21 PM »
Did Jones really lose Jones County? lol
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Kevin
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« Reply #120 on: May 06, 2014, 08:36:42 PM »
USA Today is calling it for Tillis

http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2014/05/06/north-carolina-senate-tillis-tea-party/8780335/
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Miles
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« Reply #121 on: May 06, 2014, 08:37:54 PM »
The NC-03 results are ridiculous. Both the AP and the state site have just over 50% in with totally different results.

But yeah, that what the AP says lol
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« Reply #122 on: May 06, 2014, 08:38:33 PM »
Congrats to the COC for buying and paying for the NC.

They got a clean sweep now that both Rouzer and Ellmers were just called by the AP.
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Miles
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« Reply #123 on: May 06, 2014, 08:39:49 PM »
Baby Berger is only at 37% with all of Rockingham County in (says the state site). 30% district wide is in.
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #124 on: May 06, 2014, 08:41:25 PM »
Well that was boring.

I was hoping Tillis would get like 49% of the vote so that things would get weird.
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