State Tendencies (1828-1852, 1864-1908)

[DistingFlyer]

Some time ago I put up maps (https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=171640.0) illustrating how elections from 1916 to the present would have gone in the event of a tie vote on a uniform national swing - or, if you like, how the results in each state differed from the national total. Third parties are not shown on the maps for the sake of simplicity.
Here is a set of maps illustrating the same thing from 1828 to 1852, and from 1864 to 1908. I have excluded 1856, 1860 and 1912 as they weren't proper two-party battles.

1828 - Adams wins, 144-117


1832 - Clay wins, 149-128-11


1836 - Van Buren wins, 162-132


1840 - Van Buren wins, 153-141


1844 - Clay wins, 141-134


1848 - Cass wins, 181-109


1852 - Scott wins, 179-117




1864 - McClellan wins, 131-103


1868 - Grant wins, 156-138


1872 - Greeley wins, 215-151


1876 - Hayes wins, 206-163


1880 - Garfield wins, 213-156 (almost exactly what the real result was)


1884 - Blaine wins, 218-183


1888 - Harrison wins, 257-144


1892 - Cleveland wins, 226-208-10


1896 - McKinley wins, 232-215


1900 - McKinley wins, 258-189


1904 - Parker wins, 240-236


1908 - Taft wins, 257-226

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

That's cool. Great maps.

If the uniform swing is added to Clay in 1832, I think Clay takes VT from the Anti-Masons and thus an EV majority.

[DistingFlyer]

That's cool. Great maps.

If the uniform swing is added to Clay in 1832, I think Clay takes VT from the Anti-Masons and thus an EV majority.

You're probably right - in most cases I left third-party electors untouched as a uniform swing can take many different forms (both big parties going up or down to varying degrees), but given the small Anti-Mason margin in Vermont I should probably change it.