CA-21, Harper: Valadao in the lead

[krazen1211]

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Valadao 45
Renteria 13
Hernandez 25


Mr. Valadao has tremendous bipartisan popularity in the district.

[free my dawg]

Very cautious about Harper, but Valadao is the right type of Republican to win here. He's probably leading by about 6-9 points.

[DrScholl]

Harper polls have been discredited, they under count areas that are not as favorable to Republicans and over count areas that are favorable. He's been out raised and with Brown at the top of the ticket, I don't see how he survives.

45% isn't bipartisan appeal, it's about the Republican base in the district.

[free my dawg]

Harper polls have been discredited, they under count areas that are not as favorable to Republicans and over count areas that are favorable. He's been out raised and with Brown at the top of the ticket, I don't see how he survives.

45% isn't bipartisan appeal, it's about the Republican base in the district.

Democrats are notorious for not turning out here.

[morgieb]

Not the right cycle to beat him. Don't see him surviving 2016 though.