CO-Quinnipiac: Hillary still struggling in Colorado, improves against Christie

[Tender Branson]

48-43 Ryan/Clinton (45-43 Ryan)

47-43 Paul/Clinton (47-44 Paul)

43-42 Clinton/Christie (was 46-38 Christie in November)

44-43 Clinton/Cruz (44-44)

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/colorado/release-detail?ReleaseID=2004

[Person Man]

There definitely needs to be some outreach by Hillary here. The numbers seem a little right for those under 30.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Clinton is winning by at least 15% nationwide but losing Colorado? Time to put Quinnipiac in the outhouse, methinks.

[dmmidmi]

Clinton is winning by at least 15% nationwide but losing Colorado? Time to put Quinnipiac in the outhouse, methinks.

PPP also found that Hildog was doing poorly in Colorado. Granted, that's before she was up by astronomical numbers, but she was underperforming in Colorado even then.

[henster]

I think Hispanics are being under sampled in these polls by Q they had Romney up by 1 point in October when Obama won by 5 points.

[Lief 🗽]

Colorado is hard to poll. Democrats always out-perform their polls here, similar to Nevada.

[pbrower2a]

I think Hispanics are being under sampled in these polls by Q they had Romney up by 1 point in October when Obama won by 5 points.

That could be because Hispanics are typically considered less-than-likely voters. The trick of winning some swing states or alleged swing states is to win the not-so-likely voters whose individual votes count as much as do those of voters more likely to go to the polls.

Colorado broke late for Obama in 2012. 

[Person Man]

I think Hispanics are being under sampled in these polls by Q they had Romney up by 1 point in October when Obama won by 5 points.

That could be because Hispanics are typically considered less-than-likely voters. The trick of winning some swing states or alleged swing states is to win the not-so-likely voters whose individual votes count as much as do those of voters more likely to go to the polls.

Colorado broke late for Obama in 2012. 

Something tells me that Colorado will be the ultimate test on who can run a campaign in 2014 and 2016. If republicans can hold the Aurora house seat, gain back at least one state legislature and knock off Hick or Udall, I think that the Republicans are favored to win not only Colorado but win period in 2016. That reason being that the Republicans turned around their ground game and now Democrats have a "missing voters" problem the way they did between 1998 and 2006 and the way Republicans did in 2006, 2008 and 2012.  I would count 1978 to 1990, too but that was more because people believe Reagan was some kind of Chuck Norris like character. 

[pbrower2a]

I think Hispanics are being under sampled in these polls by Q they had Romney up by 1 point in October when Obama won by 5 points.

That could be because Hispanics are typically considered less-than-likely voters. The trick of winning some swing states or alleged swing states is to win the not-so-likely voters whose individual votes count as much as do those of voters more likely to go to the polls.

Colorado broke late for Obama in 2012. 

Something tells me that Colorado will be the ultimate test on who can run a campaign in 2014 and 2016. If republicans can hold the Aurora house seat, gain back at least one state legislature and knock off Hick or Udall, I think that the Republicans are favored to win not only Colorado but win period in 2016. That reason being that the Republicans turned around their ground game and now Democrats have a "missing voters" problem the way they did between 1998 and 2006 and the way Republicans did in 2006, 2008 and 2012.  I would count 1978 to 1990, too but that was more because people believe Reagan was some kind of Chuck Norris like character. 

Of course. Colorado was the tipping-point state in 2012 for the Presidency.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Look at the 2008 democratic primary results to get an idea why Hillary is so strong in Appalachia, the upper south and places like PA and Florida, while Obama was strong in places like Colorado , Virginia and NC. Obama's coalition is that of the ascendant : Young voters , those with college degrees, minorities, single women etc. All are strong demographics in Colorado.

Obama is a very strong candidate for places like Colorado, especially its Denver suburbs as he appeals to the 'wine track' latte liberal and libertarianish voters in the state.

Hillary appeals to the 'beer track' working class white types that fill states like PA, OH and West Virginia.  I cant see the creative class types being big fans of her.
 

I expect a huge republican trend in Colorado in 2016 sadly.

[Devils30]

Quinnipiac's 2012 polls in CO ranged from Obama +1 to Romney +5. Final score was Obama +5.4. While CO may definitely be more GOP than the nation if Hillary is strong in PA, VA, FL. If Hillary wins by anything more than 3 nationally I expect CO to go blue.

[Mr. Morden]

Do you think [fill in name] would make a good president or not?
yes/no %
Ryan 44/38% for +6%
Paul 40/41% for -1%
Clinton 46/48% for -2%
Christie 36/42% for -6%
Cruz 30/40% for -10%
Biden 26/65% for -39%

Christie vs. Clinton by age:
18-29: Christie +5
30-49: Clinton +15
50-64: Christie +1
65+: Christie +12

...

This poll has just about the largest gender gap I've ever seen.

Christie vs. Clinton by sex:
men: Christie +17
women: Clinton +20

[Devils30]

Would be nice to see the racial breakdown as well, and also wonder if they used cell phones. You can dismiss any 2016 polls with Hillary losing the white vote only 55-45 and losing the state. Look at the 2012 exits, not gonna happen for the GOP.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I can get Clinton struggling in CO... but losing to Paul Ryan and Rand Paul by outside the MoE? Give me a break...

[Person Man]

Quinnipiac's 2012 polls in CO ranged from Obama +1 to Romney +5. Final score was Obama +5.4. While CO may definitely be more GOP than the nation if Hillary is strong in PA, VA, FL. If Hillary wins by anything more than 3 nationally I expect CO to go blue.

I'd agree were not going back to the Sagebrush era, but R+1 from D+1 sounds reasonable and if Republicans win in 2016, I'd expect to be no more Republican than EVEN in 2020.