Pennsylvania

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Pennsylvania likes to ticket split. There's your answer in brief.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

I'm still suprised that Bush won Greene but not Washington. I'd guessed the other way round.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Ah. You're all playing with trends. Not a good idea, but you'll learn.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Ah. You're all playing with trends. Not a good idea, but you'll learn.

Yup, but some trends are well established, like the SE RINO's voting Democrat.  Some, like Luzerne going GOP, are just guesses on my part.

The only trends that you can ever be sure of are ones as a result of large demographic changes (almost always growth). Most places don't trend so much as react to different candidates in different ways.

This sort of stuff can be interesting but should always come with a big health warning

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Though trends don't reflect sure things, they tell you what will happen if you do not alter the status quo.

Although seeing as it takes a hell of an effort to make sure the status quo stays the same over a four year period... it's true this sort of thing can be interesting although I'd be careful of reading much into it.

For fun, work from PA in 1968, 1980 and 1996

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Flyers: hate to spoil the party 'an all but Bucks county was actually closer in 2004 than 2000.
It's been very close every election since 1992 (and in 1976 interestingly enough).

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Flyers: hate to spoil the party 'an all but Bucks county was actually closer in 2004 than 2000.
It's been very close every election since 1992 (and in 1976 interestingly enough).

Never mind you're right.  However 2000 was a good year for the Dems there.  The other counties I am right though.  Chester shifted dramatically Democratic and will soon flip.

I think Chester may have been to do with the Nick Berg thing actually