OR-Magellan Strategies: The junkiest poll I've ever seen.

[free my dawg]

New pushpoll by Magellan has Merkley down by 3 to a Generic R... but the sample's Romney+6.

This is why I frown upon posting internals from places like Magellan or Wenzel. Turnout's obviously going to swing, but to say it's going to swing by 18% is absurd. Also undersamples Hispanics.

[LeBron]

OMG, this poll makes the MI polls seem accurate.

But I swear, there's so much bias here. They're directly asking these voters if they would still vote for Merkley because of supporting Obama's agenda after having asked a question to the same people who gave Obama a 39% approval. Seriously? And I thought Quinnipiac was bad.....

This race is still safe D (as is the Governor election). Hate to break it to them, but Conger isn't a generic R and Walden already declined a run.

[Tender Branson]

LOL, what the heck is this ?

[ElectionsGuy]

New pushpoll by Magellan has Merkley down by 3 to a Generic R... but the sample's Romney+6.

This is why I frown upon posting internals from places like Magellan or Wenzel. Turnout's obviously going to swing, but to say it's going to swing by 18% is absurd. Also undersamples Hispanics.

lol WTF??

[IceSpear]

Romney +6 sample...hahahaha.

Of course, Obama's margin among the 2014 electorate will not match his 2012 one due to lower turnout. But an 18 point drop is laughable.

[NewYorkExpress]

Merkley's probably not going to lose... but I wouldn't call it Safe D just yet... Put it at Likely D.

And yes, this poll is to be thrown in the dung heap.

[Vosem]

This poll is crap, but I still think Merkley could be legitimately vulnerable in a wave and a useful decoy in any case.

[Kevin]

This poll is crap, but I still think Merkley could be legitimately vulnerable in a wave and a useful decoy in any case.

I would agree given that it's Oregon he is probably up but from my understanding he isn't very popular ether so he could face a tough race.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

This poll is crap, but I still think Merkley could be legitimately vulnerable in a wave and a useful decoy in any case.

I would agree given that it's Oregon he is probably up by from my understanding he isn't very popular ether so he could face a tough race.

This summarizes my feelings exactly.

[free my dawg]

This poll is crap, but I still think Merkley could be legitimately vulnerable in a wave and a useful decoy in any case.

Like I said, if it's a moderate or even a Paulite, there's a decent chance, but there's no way in hell Jason Conger is going to do it.