49 state landslide either way. What are the last holdout states? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 25, 2024, 09:41:52 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 100% pro-life no matter what)
  49 state landslide either way. What are the last holdout states? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: 49 state landslide either way. What are the last holdout states?  (Read 7808 times)
morgieb
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,636
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -8.70

« on: December 17, 2013, 02:59:02 PM »

I reckon Maryland is actually a pretty decent answer. Hawaii loves incumbents (which frankly is the only way a Republican's getting a 49-state landslide), and the triumvirate of Massachusetts, Rhode Island and Vermont can still and have voted for moderate Republicans (which the Republican would have to be). New York could be another one, I guess, but I reckon it's the right sort of state that could consider a certain slant of Republican. Of course, if it was a conservative who was just crazy popular, then the answer would be Vermont.

Republicans, the correct answer is Utah. Oklahoma if it is a crazy popular liberal, but it definitely would vote for the right kind of Democrat.

To who said Mississippi - I reckon Alabama's a better fit. With Mississippi you only need about 20-25% of the white vote to win (which granted is hard), but Alabama's black population is smaller and the polarisation is only slightly better.
Logged
morgieb
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,636
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -8.70

« Reply #1 on: February 09, 2015, 02:49:26 AM »

Given that Maryland voted for a Republican governor last election, and Vermont came very close to doing so, I'd be interested to see if any Democrats have changed their mind.

Think the last holdout for Team D might be California these days.
Logged
morgieb
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,636
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -8.70

« Reply #2 on: February 13, 2015, 02:39:40 AM »

Given that Maryland voted for a Republican governor last election, and Vermont came very close to doing so, I'd be interested to see if any Democrats have changed their mind.

Think the last holdout for Team D might be California these days.

Hawaii, which is even more exaggerated in its minority-majority identity than California, would hold out longer than California.
Hawaii is really incumbent-friendly though, perhaps down to its Asian culture. It probably would be the last holdout if the Republicans won 49 states despite not being an incumbent, but if anyone was to win a landslide of that proportion, they'd be an incumbent.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.028 seconds with 12 queries.