New York, Siena -- Cuomo would be re-elected despite low approval ratings

[pbrower2a]

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http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/home/parents_and_community/community_page/sri/sny_poll/SNY%20November%202013%20Poll%20Release%20--%20FINAL.pdf

Is the GOP bench that weak in New York State?

[Tender Branson]

Note that this is an Excellent/Good/Fair/Poor poll.

His approvals would be much higher than 44% who say "excellent/good".

His favorables are also above 60% in this poll.

[pbrower2a]

I suggest that this thread be merged into yours on this poll.

[Tender Branson]

I suggest that this thread be merged into yours on this poll.

No, it's OK.

This thread is for the 2014 election and my thread is for the 2016 election.

[Maxwell]

It seems like a lot of his disapproval is disapproval from the left in New York, so it would be impossible/very hard for a Republican to beat him.

[IceSpear]

Is it just me, or is NY becoming even more solidly blue every year? I mean, Kirsten Gillibrand got 72% of the vote in the Senate race last year. That's Utah-esque levels of partisanship.

[IceSpear]

Note that this is an Excellent/Good/Fair/Poor poll.

His approvals would be much higher than 44% who say "excellent/good".

His favorables are also above 60% in this poll.

Good point. I really don't see how Siena interprets "fair" as a negative job approval rating. They suck at analyzing their own poll. Only 17% picked "poor".

[cinyc]

Good point. I really don't see how Siena interprets "fair" as a negative job approval rating. They suck at analyzing their own poll. Only 17% picked "poor".

Almost every pollster who uses an Excellent/Good/Fair/Poor job approval scale considers Fair a negative rating.  If the best you can say is that someone is doing a fair job, he's not doing his job very well.

[Lief 🗽]

Treating "fair" as a negative/disapproval is stupid. No idea why polling firms still do it.

[Meeker]

It'll be interesting to see how the WFP and Greens approach this election. Cuomo's base is not very happy.

[pbrower2a]

Treating "fair" as a negative/disapproval is stupid. No idea why polling firms still do it.

"Fair" can have a positive connotation, as in "fair play" or "fair weather". A/B/C/D/E grading leaves no ambiguity. You could even be happy with something mediocre -- if you must eat out, then a mediocre sandwich from some fast food place might satisfy your purposes without burning through your cash.

[ElectionsGuy]

It seems like a lot of his disapproval is disapproval from the left in New York, so it would be impossible/very hard for a Republican to beat him.

^^^

Democrats have a rock solid base in New York, so I think it would be almost impossible for him to lose to a actual republican.

[Maxwell]

It seems like a lot of his disapproval is disapproval from the left in New York, so it would be impossible/very hard for a Republican to beat him.

^^^

Democrats have a rock solid base in New York, so I think it would be almost impossible for him to lose to a actual republican.

If a Democrat actually had disapproval from the center/center-left (which is difficult), had a strong Republican, and/or it's a good Republican year, they have a shot in a Governor's race or other statewide race.